VOL. XCIV, NO. 247

★ FINANCIAL TOOLS & SERVICES DIRECTORY ★

PRICE: 5 CENTS

Sunday, October 19, 2025

Head-to-head

CME FedWatch Tool vs Ghostfolio comparison

Compare pricing, supported platforms, categories, and standout capabilities to decide which tool fits your workflow.

Quick takeaways

CME FedWatch Tool adds Central Bank Watcher, Interest Rates, Data APIs, and Calendar coverage that Ghostfolio skips.

Ghostfolio includes Portfolio categories that CME FedWatch Tool omits.

CME FedWatch Tool highlights: Meeting‑by‑meeting probabilities of FOMC target‑rate outcomes implied by Fed Funds futures., Compare view (current vs 1‑day/1‑week/1‑month ago) and Historical panel., and Fed ‘Dot Plot’ chart plus table view..

Ghostfolio is known for: Track net worth and portfolios across cash, stocks, ETFs, and crypto in a privacy-first, open-source app., Manage transactions with full CRUD, multiple accounts, return-on-investment timelines (Today, WTD, MTD, YTD, 1Y, 5Y, Max), risk checks, charts, and customizable dark/zen modes., and Self-hosting supported with official Docker images (amd64/arm variants), plus templates for platforms like CasaOS, Home Assistant, Runtipi, TrueCharts, Umbrel, and Unraid..

Ghostfolio offers mobile access, which CME FedWatch Tool skips.

CME FedWatch Tool logo

CME FedWatch Tool

cmegroup.com

Official CME probabilities for upcoming FOMC decisions, derived from 30‑Day Fed Funds (ZQ) futures. Web tool provides meeting‑by‑meeting probability matrices, comparisons over time, a historical download, and a Dot Plot view. A paid REST API is available for programmatic access. CME documents the probability‑tree methodology clearly; API snapshots update on business days at ~01:45 UTC. Media usage asks attribution to “CME FedWatch.”

Platforms

Web
API

Pricing

Free
Subscription

Quick highlights

  • Meeting‑by‑meeting probabilities of FOMC target‑rate outcomes implied by Fed Funds futures.
  • Compare view (current vs 1‑day/1‑week/1‑month ago) and Historical panel.
  • Fed ‘Dot Plot’ chart plus table view.
  • One‑click PDF generation of the current page and Excel downloads for historical probabilities.
  • Transparent methodology: unconditional probabilities via a binary probability tree built from implied EFFR, assuming 25 bp step sizes.

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Ghostfolio logo

Ghostfolio

ghostfol.io

An open-source (AGPL-3.0) portfolio and net-worth tracker designed with privacy in mind. You can self-host it for free using Docker or opt for Ghostfolio Premium, a fully managed cloud version (~$40/year). There’s no broker OAuth; data comes in via manual entry, CSV uploads, or API. Runs as a PWA with mobile access and even allows anonymous sign-ups.

Platforms

Web
Mobile
API

Pricing

Free
Subscription

Quick highlights

  • Track net worth and portfolios across cash, stocks, ETFs, and crypto in a privacy-first, open-source app.
  • Manage transactions with full CRUD, multiple accounts, return-on-investment timelines (Today, WTD, MTD, YTD, 1Y, 5Y, Max), risk checks, charts, and customizable dark/zen modes.
  • Self-hosting supported with official Docker images (amd64/arm variants), plus templates for platforms like CasaOS, Home Assistant, Runtipi, TrueCharts, Umbrel, and Unraid.
  • Public REST API with bearer-token authentication for importing activities, duplicate detection, and publishing public portfolio endpoints. Data sources include Yahoo Finance and CoinGecko, alongside manual inputs.
  • CSV import for trades and positions (with specific improvements for brokers like IBKR noted in changelogs).

Community votes (overall)

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Overlap

Shared focus areas

2 overlaps

Mutual strengths include APIs & SDKs, and Data Visualizations.

Where they differ

CME FedWatch Tool

Distinct strengths include:

  • Meeting‑by‑meeting probabilities of FOMC target‑rate outcomes implied by Fed Funds futures.
  • Compare view (current vs 1‑day/1‑week/1‑month ago) and Historical panel.
  • Fed ‘Dot Plot’ chart plus table view.
  • One‑click PDF generation of the current page and Excel downloads for historical probabilities.

Ghostfolio

Distinct strengths include:

  • Track net worth and portfolios across cash, stocks, ETFs, and crypto in a privacy-first, open-source app.
  • Manage transactions with full CRUD, multiple accounts, return-on-investment timelines (Today, WTD, MTD, YTD, 1Y, 5Y, Max), risk checks, charts, and customizable dark/zen modes.
  • Self-hosting supported with official Docker images (amd64/arm variants), plus templates for platforms like CasaOS, Home Assistant, Runtipi, TrueCharts, Umbrel, and Unraid.
  • Public REST API with bearer-token authentication for importing activities, duplicate detection, and publishing public portfolio endpoints. Data sources include Yahoo Finance and CoinGecko, alongside manual inputs.

Feature-by-feature breakdown

AttributeCME FedWatch ToolGhostfolio
Categories

Which research workflows each platform targets

Shared: APIs & SDKs, Data Visualizations

Unique: Central Bank Watcher, Interest Rates, Data APIs, Calendar

Shared: APIs & SDKs, Data Visualizations

Unique: Portfolio

Asset types

Supported asset classes and universes

Futures

Stocks, ETFs, Cryptos, Currencies

Experience levels

Who each product is built for

Beginner, Intermediate, Advanced

Beginner, Intermediate, Advanced

Platforms

Where you can access the product

Web, API

Web, Mobile, API

Pricing

High-level pricing models

Free, Subscription

Free, Subscription

Key features

Core capabilities called out by each vendor

Unique

  • Meeting‑by‑meeting probabilities of FOMC target‑rate outcomes implied by Fed Funds futures.
  • Compare view (current vs 1‑day/1‑week/1‑month ago) and Historical panel.
  • Fed ‘Dot Plot’ chart plus table view.
  • One‑click PDF generation of the current page and Excel downloads for historical probabilities.
  • Transparent methodology: unconditional probabilities via a binary probability tree built from implied EFFR, assuming 25 bp step sizes.
  • FedWatch REST API (OAuth2) with endpoints for /forecasts and /meetings (future/history); extended history available.

Unique

  • Track net worth and portfolios across cash, stocks, ETFs, and crypto in a privacy-first, open-source app.
  • Manage transactions with full CRUD, multiple accounts, return-on-investment timelines (Today, WTD, MTD, YTD, 1Y, 5Y, Max), risk checks, charts, and customizable dark/zen modes.
  • Self-hosting supported with official Docker images (amd64/arm variants), plus templates for platforms like CasaOS, Home Assistant, Runtipi, TrueCharts, Umbrel, and Unraid.
  • Public REST API with bearer-token authentication for importing activities, duplicate detection, and publishing public portfolio endpoints. Data sources include Yahoo Finance and CoinGecko, alongside manual inputs.
  • CSV import for trades and positions (with specific improvements for brokers like IBKR noted in changelogs).
  • Premium managed cloud version (~$40/year) for users who don’t want to self-host.
Tested

Verified by hands-on testing inside Find My Moat

Not yet

Not yet

Editor pick

Featured inside curated shortlists

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Frequently Asked Questions

Which workflows do CME FedWatch Tool and Ghostfolio both support?

Both platforms cover APIs & SDKs, and Data Visualizations workflows, so you can research those use cases in either tool before digging into the feature differences below.

Do CME FedWatch Tool and Ghostfolio require subscriptions?

Both CME FedWatch Tool and Ghostfolio keep freemium access with optional paid upgrades, so you can trial each platform before committing.

Which tool has mobile access?

Ghostfolio ships a dedicated mobile experience, while CME FedWatch Tool focuses on web or desktop access.

What unique strengths set the two platforms apart?

CME FedWatch Tool differentiates itself with Meeting‑by‑meeting probabilities of FOMC target‑rate outcomes implied by Fed Funds futures., Compare view (current vs 1‑day/1‑week/1‑month ago) and Historical panel., and Fed ‘Dot Plot’ chart plus table view., whereas Ghostfolio stands out for Track net worth and portfolios across cash, stocks, ETFs, and crypto in a privacy-first, open-source app., Manage transactions with full CRUD, multiple accounts, return-on-investment timelines (Today, WTD, MTD, YTD, 1Y, 5Y, Max), risk checks, charts, and customizable dark/zen modes., and Self-hosting supported with official Docker images (amd64/arm variants), plus templates for platforms like CasaOS, Home Assistant, Runtipi, TrueCharts, Umbrel, and Unraid..

Curation & Accuracy

This directory blends AI‑assisted discovery with human curation. Entries are reviewed, edited, and organized with the goal of expanding coverage and sharpening quality over time. Your feedback helps steer improvements (because no single human can capture everything all at once).

Details change. Pricing, features, and availability may be incomplete or out of date. Treat listings as a starting point and verify on the provider’s site before making decisions. If you spot an error or a gap, send a quick note and I’ll adjust.