VOL. XCIV, NO. 247
★ A CURATED DIRECTORY OF FINANCIAL TOOLS ★
PRICE: 5 CENTS
Saturday, December 13, 2025
CME FedWatch Tool
Official CME probabilities for upcoming FOMC decisions, derived from 30‑Day Fed Funds (ZQ) futures. Web tool provides meeting‑by‑meeting probability matrices, comparisons over time, a historical download, and a Dot Plot view. A paid REST API is available for programmatic access. CME documents the probability‑tree methodology clearly; API snapshots update on business days at ~01:45 UTC. Media usage asks attribution to “CME FedWatch.”
Community votes (overall)
Key features
- Meeting‑by‑meeting probabilities of FOMC target‑rate outcomes implied by Fed Funds futures.
- Compare view (current vs 1‑day/1‑week/1‑month ago) and Historical panel.
- Fed ‘Dot Plot’ chart plus table view.
- One‑click PDF generation of the current page and Excel downloads for historical probabilities.
- Transparent methodology: unconditional probabilities via a binary probability tree built from implied EFFR, assuming 25 bp step sizes.
- FedWatch REST API (OAuth2) with endpoints for /forecasts and /meetings (future/history); extended history available.
FAQ
Is CME FedWatch Tool free?
Not entirely. CME FedWatch Tool includes a free tier, but its paid subscription options unlock more capacity. Visit the vendor site for current limits and pricing.
Who is CME FedWatch Tool best for?
It suits beginner, intermediate, and advanced users.
What platforms and connections does CME FedWatch Tool support?
You can use CME FedWatch Tool on Web. CME FedWatch Tool offers an API (REST) with OAuth2 authentication.
Which markets does CME FedWatch Tool cover?
CME FedWatch Tool covers North America. Examples include US. It tracks Futures. Identifiers include Ticker.
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Hey! Thanks for stopping by. I'm an independent investor with a soft spot for coding and the stock market - especially value investing (as you can probably tell from the tools I've collected here, haha). Hopefully you'll find something useful or interesting along the way.
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