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Ambev S.A. ABEV3

B3 - Brasil Bolsa BalcaoBeer, wine and spiritsFinancials to Jun 30, 2026 · Updated Oct 5, 2026

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Moat score
87
ROIC
28.6%
P/E
15.0
EV/EBIT
9.4
FCF yield
9.8%
Dividend yield
5.3%
Market cap
R$244.2B

Moat ranks

Score rankTied #65 of 396
Durabilitydurable
Market structureOligopoly
Pricing powermoderate

Balance sheet

6/30/26
R$BDec 31Jun 30
Cash18.616.6
Securities1.71.7
Debt0.40.4
Net cash19.918.0
Equity87.988.3
Leverage
Debt / EBITDA
0.01×
Debt / equity
0.00×
Leases (6/30/26)
R$2.6B
Capital
Diluted shares
15,580M
Book value / share
R$5.67
Price / book
2.8×
Net cash / share
R$1.15
Market cap
R$244.2B
Enterprise value
R$226.2B

Per-share record

Fiscal years and TTM
Scale
R$0R$2R$4R$6'16'17'18'19'20'21'22'23'245.63'255.67TTM
Revenue per shareCash flow per share

Key indicators

Latest: Q2 '26
IndicatorLatestVs year agoLast 8 quarters
Revenue growth0.3%+0.1 pts
Operating margin23.9%+2.0 pts
FCF margin19.0%+9.3 pts
Capex / revenue4.4%-1.0 pts
Brazil beer volume (quarter)21.0M+5%
Brazil beer revenue per hectoliterR$465.50+4%
Brazil non-alcoholic beverage volume (quarter)7.6M-4%
Brazil non-alcoholic beverage revenue per hectoliterR$270.60+6%
Central America and Caribbean beverage volume (quarter)2.7M+5%

Margins and growth from reported quarters; company KPIs as reported in results releases.

About ABEV3

Ambev is the leading brewer across several Latin American markets, with its strongest advantages in Brazil Beer: established brands, roughly one million points of sale, 207 exclusive third-party distributor operations, 89 distribution centers and high BEES adoption. First-half 2026 revenue and normalized operating profit remained concentrated in Brazil Beer.

Revenue mix
Brazil - Beer 48.7%Latin America South 19.4%Canada 11.0%Central America and the Caribbean 10.7%Brazil - Non-alcoholic beverages 10.2%
  • Brand Trust

    Entrenched mainstream, premium, and no-alcohol beer brands support habitual demand, shelf/tap visibility, and marketing efficiency.

  • Distribution Control

    Dense route-to-market, BEES-enabled ordering, and execution breadth across retail formats increase availability and make share gains harder for challengers.

  • Contractual Exclusivity

    Bottling and distribution licenses, notably for the Pepsi portfolio, add brands to the existing distribution network.

  • Distribution Control

    Shared distribution backbone reduces incremental cost-to-serve and improves shelf availability for NAB alongside beer, though 2Q26 volume was soft.

Timeline
  1. Dec 31, 2025 · Gain −R$22M

    Fourth-quarter adjustment reduced the earlier SLU disposal gain; it does not reflect weaker beer sales.

  2. Sep 30, 2025 · Gain +R$884M

    Sale of control of SLU raised third-quarter profit, including historical currency reserves. CAC organic growth removes the lost business from its comparison.

  3. Sep 30, 2025 · Tax benefit +R$375M

    A reduction of penalties on the 2017 PERT settlement reversed income-tax expense in 3Q2025. This recovery of an old charge does not measure current beverage demand.

  4. Sep 30, 2025 · Tax benefit +R$269M

    The same PERT settlement reversal recovered earlier interest charges in finance income. It is separate from recurring income on cash and beverage operating profit.

  5. Dec 31, 2022 · Tax benefit +R$1.0B

    Recognition of historical tax credits increased operating profit; these recoveries are separate from current beverage sales.

Financial record

Fiscal year2016201720182019202020212022202320242025TTMTrendChange 2016–25
Per share (R$)
Revenue2.883.023.173.283.684.595.035.035.665.635.67+7.7%/yr
Cash flow0.781.151.161.161.191.441.301.561.651.561.80+8.0%/yr
Earnings0.790.460.690.740.720.800.910.920.910.991.04+2.5%/yr
Free cash flow0.520.950.930.840.890.960.891.181.351.271.54+10.4%/yr
Capex0.260.200.230.320.300.480.410.380.300.290.26+1.3%/yr
Dividends0.650.560.560.500.430.700.770.750.261.300.83+8.0%/yr
Book value2.832.903.553.864.655.215.174.996.245.615.67+7.9%/yr
Diluted shares (M)15,82315,83815,85615,86915,86815,85815,84915,83915,81515,68415,580-0.1%/yr
Totals (R$B)
Revenue45.647.950.252.058.472.979.779.789.588.288.3+7.6%/yr
Operating income17.116.617.216.116.017.117.718.821.823.324.0+3.5%/yr
Net income12.57.311.011.811.412.714.514.514.415.516.2+2.4%/yr
Free cash flow8.215.114.813.314.215.214.118.721.319.924.0+10.3%/yr
Dividends10.38.88.87.96.911.112.211.94.120.513.0+7.9%/yr
Net cash2.87.89.111.016.118.114.715.829.419.918.0+R$17.1B
Margins & returns (%)
Gross margin63.462.461.758.353.651.149.350.751.251.451.9-12.0 pts
Operating margin37.534.634.130.927.423.422.223.624.426.427.2-11.1 pts
Net margin27.515.221.922.719.517.418.118.216.117.618.4-9.9 pts
FCF margin18.031.429.425.624.320.917.723.523.922.527.2+4.5 pts
ROIC34.136.430.526.823.222.222.025.026.428.828.6-5.4 pts
Return on equity28.015.819.519.215.415.317.618.414.617.618.4-10.4 pts
Stock pay % of revenue0.40.40.30.40.40.50.40.40.40.50.5+0.1 pts
Capex % of revenue9.16.77.19.78.010.58.27.55.35.24.6-3.9 pts

Change uses 2016 and 2025 only: compound annual growth for amounts, points for margins and returns, and the change in amount for net cash. A dash means no 2016 base. Trend shows the fiscal years.

TTM = four quarters to Jun 30, 2026. Per-share values use diluted weighted shares.ROIC = operating income × (1 − 16.1% tax rate, the company's own over three fiscal years excluding one-offs) ÷ (equity + debt − cash and current securities). Returns show a dash when their base is negative or under 10% of revenue. Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capex. Debt is all borrowings; net cash counts long-term securities and excludes leases.

Moat

Moat scorecard

Moat score87
Strength
Confidence
Structure
Oligopoly
Durability
durable
Trajectory
widening
Pricing power
moderate
Segments
  • Brazil - Beer48.7%
    2 claims
  • Brazil - Non-alcoholic beverages10.2%
    2 claims
  • Central America and the Caribbean10.7%
    2 claims
  • Latin America South19.4%
    2 claims
  • Canada11.0%
    2 claims

Moat claims

Applies to
Brazil - Beer
Confidence
Durability
durable
Trajectory
wideningas of Jun 30, 2026
Why it holds

Entrenched mainstream, premium, and no-alcohol beer brands support habitual demand, shelf/tap visibility, and marketing efficiency.

Why widening

Brazil beer volume recovered from a 4.5% fall in 2025 to 1.2% growth in 1Q2026 and 5.0% in 2Q2026. Premium volumes grew in the mid-twenties in 2Q. Reported broad share gains support stronger brand pull, although no absolute current share is disclosed.

Indicators
  • Brazil beer volume (full year)89,394,500-5%
  • Brazil beer volume (quarter)21,034,900+5%
  • Brazil beer revenue per hectoliterR$465.50+4%
Risks
  • Premiumization by competitors
  • Craft/RTD substitution
  • Alcohol advertising/marketing restrictions

Profile change log

  1. Oct 5, 2026 · analyst revision

    Kept FY2017 book equity at its reported R$46,008.8 million closing value. The R$45,590.3 million January 2018 opening comparative includes later accounting adoption adjustments; relabeling it as the year-end value would hide that change.

  2. Oct 5, 2026 · analyst revision

    Final filing review added the 3Q2025 PERT recovery of R$375 million in tax and R$269 million in finance income. FY2016 tax adjustments include only the separately identified withholding reversal and loss-carryforward recognition. Extended the BEES history and clarified that Argentina returnable-pack data describes Ambev sales, not the whole market.

  3. Oct 5, 2026 · analyst revision

    Added ten annual financial periods, twelve quarters, five linked regional end markets and operating KPI histories. Reconciled leases, cash dividends, gross share repurchases where disclosed, retrospective accounting changes and non-recurring tax/disposal effects to the statements. Market cap now uses the dated ABEV3 close and latest published issued and treasury shares.

  4. Oct 5, 2026 · business change

    Recorded the July 2025 sale of control of SLU and the August 2026 completion of the buyback and cancellation of 279 million treasury shares. The disposal changes CAC comparisons; cancellation changes issued shares without itself reducing shares held by outside investors.

  5. Oct 5, 2026 · analyst revision

    Added dated trajectories for all ten claims, management and an investment debate. Brazil beer brand and distribution evidence is improving; Brazil NAB distribution is weakening. Regional leadership must be tested against physical volumes, rivals and category demand.

  6. Oct 5, 2026 · analyst revision

    Removed the 55% to 65% Brazil beer share band. The cited analyst estimate was dated March 2025 and did not establish a June 2026 range. Latest filings support leadership and share gains without an absolute share; moat strengths and evidence status are unchanged.

Industry & peers

Peer map

0%10%20%30%40%50%60708090100Moat scoreIndustry medianABEV3KOPEP

Hover a point for its values; click a peer to compare. Dashed lines: industry medians.

Brazil beer

As of Oct 5, 2026
OligopolyMedium cyclicality

Beer sold through Brazilian grocery, cash-and-carry, traditional retail, bars and restaurants. The retail panel below covers modern food retail only; it is not total Brazilian beer sales or all-channel volume share.

  1. Ambev
  2. Heineken
  3. Grupo Petrópolis
  4. Cervejaria Cidade Imperial
StocksMoatGross m.Op. m.
ABEV38751.9%27.2%
Industry median117658.9%24.2%
Sector median857455.5%16.9%
All stocks median3987652.9%19.6%

Moat medians cover every stock. Margin medians count only stocks with collected numbers and need at least three.

Drivers & risks

Demand drivers
  • Real household income and employment drive purchase frequency; beer is affordable but consumers can switch brand, pack or drinking occasion when budgets tighten.
  • Premium, alcohol-free and new consumption occasions support mix. Gains must be checked against physical volume because higher prices alone can hide weaker demand.
  • Dense delivery routes, chilled availability and retailer ordering systems support shelf access and launch speed across fragmented outlets.
  • Hot weather, summer, holidays and major sporting events raise demand and can change quarterly comparisons.
  • Packaging, malt and BRL/USD hedges strongly affect costs. Hedges delay rather than remove currency and commodity shocks; interest rates affect both consumer budgets and cash yields.
Risks
  • Heineken and other established producers can win premium demand and match route-to-market investment; sampled retail shares differ materially by region.
  • Alcohol health concerns, substitution into ready-to-drink products and weaker discretionary occasions can reduce beer demand even when brands gain share.
  • Tax reform, state-incentive disputes, excise rules and marketing restrictions can reduce recurring profit or force changes to price and mix.
  • CADE restrictions limit outlet exclusivity, while large supermarket groups can demand discounts and weaken distributor bargaining power.
  • Drought, water limits and crop failures can interrupt production or raise grain, glass and aluminum costs. Weaker BRL makes dollar-linked inputs dearer.

Bulls & bears

Key question · as of Oct 5, 2026

Can Brazil beer keep gaining volume and premium demand while price and mix cover input costs, without relying on historical tax recoveries or inflation accounting to support profit?

Arguments

3 forFaded: weakening or settled4 against

What to watch

  1. 1Brazil beer volume and company-reported organic revenue per hectoliter, alongside Heineken results for the same period
  2. 2Brazil beer cash cost per hectoliter excluding marketplace products and the 4.5% to 7.5% 2026 guidance
  3. 3Brazil NAB volume versus its industry and continuity of Pepsi and Red Bull agreements
  4. 4CAC volume on a constant business perimeter after SLU; Argentina and Bolivia physical volume rather than inflation-driven BRL sales
  5. 5Canada beer volume, share commentary and ready-to-drink demand; BEES adoption with a consistent revenue denominator
  6. 6Operating cash flow, capital spending, gross repurchases and cash dividends, with recurring tax incentives kept in earnings

Next check: Review 3Q2026 results on October 29, 2026, as confirmed in Ambev’s investor-relations calendar. Check whether Brazil beer volume and cost performance sustain the recovery and whether NAB underperformance improves.

Sources: company filings and dated sources collected for Find My Moat; market cap as of Oct 2, 2026. Not investment advice.

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Moat Score 87/100 by <a href="https://www.findmymoat.com/stocks/BVMF:ABEV3">Find My Moat</a> (as of September 2026)

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