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Canadian National Railway Company CNR

TorontoTransport and logisticsFinancials to Jun 30, 2026 · Updated Oct 6, 2026

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CNR financials
Moat score
96
ROIC
11.5%
P/E
21.5
EV/EBIT
18.7
FCF yield
3.4%
Dividend yield
2.1%
Market cap
CA$103.0B

Moat ranks

Score rankTied #21 of 396
Durabilitydurable
Market structureDuopoly
Pricing powermoderate

Balance sheet

6/30/26
CA$BDec 31Jun 30
Cash0.40.3
Securities0.00.0
Debt21.222.3
Net cash-20.9-22.0
Equity21.621.9
Leverage
Debt / EBITDA
2.59×
Debt / equity
1.02×
Leases (6/30/26)
CA$469M
Capital
Diluted shares
608M
Book value / share
CA$36.05
Price / book
4.7×
Net cash / share
−CA$36.16
Market cap
CA$103.0B
Enterprise value
CA$124.9B

Per-share record

Fiscal years and TTM
Scale
CA$0CA$10CA$20CA$30'16'17'18'19'20'21'22'23'2427.74'2529.24TTM
Revenue per shareCash flow per share

Key indicators

Latest: Q2 '26
IndicatorLatestVs year agoLast 8 quarters
Revenue growth11.3%+12.6 pts
Operating margin37.5%-0.9 pts
FCF margin19.3%-2.7 pts
Capex / revenue14.6%-4.2 pts
Revenue ton miles62,250+5%
Route miles18,9000%
Car velocity211-1%
Through dwell7+4%
Fuel efficiency1-3%

Margins and growth from reported quarters; company KPIs as reported in results releases.

About CNR

CN carries bulk goods, containers and automobiles across an 18,900-mile network linking Canada's two coasts with the US Midwest and Gulf. Freight produced 96.4% of FY2025 revenue; ancillary rail-linked services produced 3.6%.

Revenue mix
Rail freight transportation network 96.4%Non-rail logistics and ancillary services 3.6%
  • Permits Rights Of Way

    Rail corridors and operating rights-of-way are hard to replicate; expansions, line construction/abandonments, and certain transactions face regulatory approvals in both Canada (CTA) and the U.S. (STB).

  • Physical Network Density

    Large, interconnected rail network with unique corridor coverage (Canada coast-to-coast with U.S.

  • Scale Economies Unit Cost

    High fixed infrastructure and operating costs reward large scale and utilization; railroads fund/maintain their own networks while some competing modes use publicly funded rights-of-way.

Timeline
  1. Oct 6, 2026

    CN reported a record 7.94 million tonnes of Western Canadian grain moved in Q3, supporting use of its existing network.

  2. Sep 29, 2026

    CN published its 2026–2027 Winter Plan with equipment maintenance and cold-weather measures to protect service on its northern network.

  3. Sep 14, 2026

    CN and TCRC began bargaining for a new agreement covering about 6,000 Canadian operating employees ahead of the December 31 expiry.

  4. Sep 9, 2026

    CN filed proposed access conditions for the UP-NS merger with the STB, seeking protection for affected shippers and expanded Midwest routes.

  5. Jul 24, 2026

    CN raised 2026 guidance after Q2 revenue ton miles rose 5%, showing stronger demand despite higher operating costs per ton mile.

Financial record

Fiscal year2016201720182019202020212022202320242025TTMTrendChange 2016–25
Per share (CA$)
Revenue15.4517.2219.4120.6419.3820.3824.8525.5326.8727.7429.24+6.7%/yr
Cash flow6.687.288.028.208.659.819.6910.5710.5611.3011.55+6.0%/yr
Earnings4.677.245.875.834.976.907.448.537.017.577.87+5.5%/yr
Free cash flow3.223.753.242.854.635.745.695.734.965.445.84+6.0%/yr
Capex3.463.534.795.354.024.074.004.845.595.865.71+6.0%/yr
Dividends1.491.641.812.142.292.452.913.143.373.543.63+10.1%/yr
Book value19.0521.9923.9124.9727.5632.0231.0730.5233.1834.5836.05+6.9%/yr
Diluted shares (M)779757738723713710688659635624608-2.4%/yr
Totals (CA$B)
Revenue12.013.014.314.913.814.517.116.817.017.317.8+4.1%/yr
Operating income5.05.25.55.64.85.66.86.66.26.66.7+3.0%/yr
Net income3.65.54.34.23.54.95.15.64.44.74.8+2.9%/yr
Free cash flow2.52.82.42.13.34.13.93.83.23.43.5+3.4%/yr
Buybacks2.02.02.01.70.41.64.74.62.62.13.0+0.4%/yr
Dividends1.21.21.31.51.61.72.02.12.12.22.2+7.4%/yr
Net cash-10.4-10.6-12.3-13.6-12.3-11.6-15.1-18.0-20.5-20.9-22.0−CA$10.4B
Margins & returns (%)
Operating margin41.840.238.437.534.638.840.039.236.638.137.5-3.7 pts
Net margin30.242.130.228.325.733.829.933.426.127.326.9-3.0 pts
FCF margin20.821.816.713.823.928.222.922.518.519.620.0-1.2 pts
ROIC15.114.513.913.411.312.414.213.111.411.711.5-3.3 pts
Return on equity24.532.924.523.418.021.523.928.021.121.921.8-2.6 pts
Stock pay % of revenue0.90.90.60.40.50.60.40.40.40.60.6-0.3 pts
Capex % of revenue22.420.524.725.920.720.016.118.920.821.119.5-1.2 pts

Change uses 2016 and 2025 only: compound annual growth for amounts, points for margins and returns, and the change in amount for net cash. A dash means no 2016 base. Trend shows the fiscal years.

TTM = four quarters to Jun 30, 2026. Per-share values use diluted weighted shares.ROIC = operating income × (1 − 24.4% tax rate, the company's own over three fiscal years excluding one-offs) ÷ (equity + debt − cash and current securities). Returns show a dash when their base is negative or under 10% of revenue. Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capex. Debt is all borrowings; net cash counts long-term securities and excludes leases.

Moat

Moat scorecard

Moat score96
Strength
Confidence
Structure
Duopoly
Durability
durable
Trajectory
stable
Pricing power
moderate
Segments
  • Rail freight transportation network96.4%
    3 claims
  • Non-rail logistics and ancillary services3.6%
    No moat

Moat claims

Applies to
Rail freight transportation network
Confidence
Durability
durable
Trajectory
stableas of Oct 6, 2026
Why it holds

Rail corridors and operating rights-of-way are hard to replicate; expansions, line construction/abandonments, and certain transactions face regulatory approvals in both Canada (CTA) and the U.S. (STB).

Why stable

Scarce corridors remain protected by construction approvals and rights of way. The July agreement grants additional access only if the UP-NS merger is approved and closes; it has not removed the entry barrier.

Indicators
  • Route miles18,9000%
  • Freight revenue per revenue ton mile7+6%
Risks
  • Regulatory changes that increase mandated access or constrain pricing
  • Political scrutiny of rail service levels and safety
  • Long-haul interswitching / reciprocal switching expansion

Profile change log

  1. Oct 6, 2026 · business change

    CN reported a record 7.94 million tonnes of Western Canadian grain moved in Q3, supporting use of its existing network.

  2. Oct 6, 2026 · business change

    CN published its 2026–2027 Winter Plan with equipment maintenance and cold-weather measures to protect service on its northern network.

  3. Oct 6, 2026 · business change

    CN and TCRC began bargaining for a new agreement covering about 6,000 Canadian operating employees ahead of the December 31 expiry.

  4. Oct 6, 2026 · business change

    CN filed proposed access conditions for the UP-NS merger with the STB, seeking protection for affected shippers and expanded Midwest routes.

  5. Oct 6, 2026 · business change

    CN raised 2026 guidance after Q2 revenue ton miles rose 5%, showing stronger demand despite higher operating costs per ton mile.

  6. Oct 6, 2026 · business change

    CN and Union Pacific signed a binding framework for Midwest access and terminal interests if the UP-NS merger receives approval and closes; the routes are not part of CN today.

  7. Oct 6, 2026 · business change

    A CN train derailed 46 railcars in Repentigny. CN later linked it to a preliminary finding of misapplied rail engineering standards, raising service and safety risk while the independent investigation continues.

  8. Oct 6, 2026 · business change

    CN took control of Iowa Northern after STB approval, adding its Iowa network to consolidated operations; the investment had been purchased in December 2023.

  9. Oct 6, 2026 · analyst revision

    The 2025 annual report identifies ancillary logistics as rail-support services competing on service, access and price; no separate protection is evidenced. This small group is classified as verified no moat.

  10. Oct 6, 2026 · analyst revision

    Moat trajectories remain stable: productivity improved, but total unit costs, service and safety give mixed evidence. Revenue weights now use FY2025 freight and other revenue. The prior track-ownership proxy is removed from market share because it does not measure traffic or revenue.

Industry & peers

Peer map

0%10%20%30%40%50%60708090100Moat scoreIndustry medianCNR
No peer numbers yet

Peers appear on the map as their numbers are collected.

North American freight rail

As of Oct 6, 2026
OligopolyHigh cyclicality

Class I long-distance freight networks, including intermodal, industrial, agricultural, energy and coal shipments. Western US routes principally pit BNSF against Union Pacific; rail also competes with trucks, barges and pipelines. The player list names Class I networks, not shares of all freight transport. The profile also covers rail-linked terminal, transload and logistics services sold to the same shippers; the leader list names Class I rail carriers rather than shares of ancillary services.

  1. BNSF
  2. Union Pacific
  3. CSX
  4. Norfolk Southern
  5. Canadian National
  6. Canadian Pacific Kansas City
StocksMoatGross m.Op. m.
CNR96–37.5%
Industry median119013.2%30.0%
Sector median887637.0%17.5%
All stocks median3987652.9%19.6%

Moat medians cover every stock. Margin medians count only stocks with collected numbers and need at least three.

Drivers & risks

Demand drivers
  • The economic cycle has a strong effect on industrial, retail and import volumes. Interest rates also affect housing, autos and capital spending, while refinancing and pensions create a moderate direct earnings channel. Higher traffic spreads track, yard and crew costs over more shipments.
  • Route density, terminal capacity and dependable service support longer hauls. Unit volumes test network use, while revenue alone can rise with fuel surcharges.
  • Diesel prices have a moderate effect after fuel surcharges, with timing differences. Rail fuel efficiency relative to trucking supports its competitive position.
  • Grain harvests, energy demand and port flows can move traffic independently of the economic cycle. CN reported a Q3 2026 record 7.94 million tonnes of Western Canadian grain; a single commodity does not establish growth across the network.
  • Regulation has a strong effect on entry, safety costs, service obligations and merger options. Replacement rights of way are difficult to assemble.
Risks
  • Coal plant retirements reduce a historically important traffic source. Higher natural-gas prices can temporarily help coal demand without reversing the long-term risk.
  • Wage, maintenance and equipment costs can rise faster than traffic. A network advantage does not guarantee efficient operation.
  • Trade restrictions and tariffs can reduce intermodal and industrial demand. For Canadian carriers, USD revenue, costs and borrowing balances also affect reported CAD results; customer trade flows create an additional currency channel.
  • A proposed Union Pacific–Norfolk Southern merger could improve a rival’s through-service offering. The outcome remains subject to regulatory review.
  • Trucking capacity and poor rail service can move shipments off rail. Safety failures or labor disruption can stop service and trigger intervention.

Bulls & bears

Key question · as of Oct 6, 2026

Can CN turn higher traffic into reliable service and lower unit costs while protecting access against rail consolidation and labor disruption?

Arguments

4 forFaded: weakening or settled4 against

What to watch

  1. 1Revenue ton miles and car velocity versus CPKC and modal alternatives
  2. 2Operating expenses per gross ton mile, labor productivity and fuel efficiency
  3. 3Accident rate, TCRC agreement progress and final STB access conditions

Next check: Q3 2026 results on October 30, 2026; then December 31 TCRC contract expiry and the STB merger process.

Sources: company filings and dated sources collected for Find My Moat; market cap as of Oct 5, 2026. Not investment advice.

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Moat Score 96/100 by <a href="https://www.findmymoat.com/stocks/XTSE:CNR">Find My Moat</a> (as of September 2026)

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