VOL. XCIV, NO. 247

★ FINANCIAL TOOLS & SERVICES DIRECTORY ★

PRICE: 5 CENTS

Tuesday, October 28, 2025

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Tool Comparison

CME FedWatch Tool vs okama comparison

Compare pricing, supported platforms, categories, and standout capabilities to decide which tool fits your workflow.

Quick takeaways

CME FedWatch Tool adds Central Bank Watcher, APIs & SDKs, and Calendar coverage that okama skips.

okama includes Quant, Portfolio, Correlation, Backtesting, Risk Metrics (VaR/ES/Drawdown), Monte Carlo, ETF Performance, and Inflation Rates categories that CME FedWatch Tool omits.

In depth comparison

CME FedWatch Tool logo

CME FedWatch Tool

cmegroup.com

Official CME probabilities for upcoming FOMC decisions, derived from 30‑Day Fed Funds (ZQ) futures. Web tool provides meeting‑by‑meeting probability matrices, comparisons over time, a historical download, and a Dot Plot view. A paid REST API is available for programmatic access. CME documents the probability‑tree methodology clearly; API snapshots update on business days at ~01:45 UTC. Media usage asks attribution to “CME FedWatch.”

Platforms

WebAPI

Pricing

FreeSubscription

Quick highlights

  • Meeting‑by‑meeting probabilities of FOMC target‑rate outcomes implied by Fed Funds futures.
  • Compare view (current vs 1‑day/1‑week/1‑month ago) and Historical panel.
  • Fed ‘Dot Plot’ chart plus table view.
  • One‑click PDF generation of the current page and Excel downloads for historical probabilities.
  • Transparent methodology: unconditional probabilities via a binary probability tree built from implied EFFR, assuming 25 bp step sizes.

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okama logo

okama

okama.io

Hands-on review

Free open-source toolkit for portfolio analysis and market data. Okama offers web widgets, an API, and a Python library with efficient frontiers, risk metrics, and Monte Carlo simulations. Market and macro data is available end-of-day, with live prices delayed by ~15–20 minutes.

Platforms

WebAPI

Pricing

Free

Quick highlights

  • Interactive Efficient Frontier (mean–variance) widget for quick visualization.
  • Compare-assets widget covering returns, drawdowns, CVaR, and correlations.
  • Portfolio widget built on adjusted monthly data for risk/return analysis.
  • Python library supports mean–variance optimization, rebalancing scenarios, backtesting, and advanced risk metrics such as VaR, CVaR, semideviation, and drawdowns.
  • Monte Carlo simulations and wealth-index forecasts with percentile bands.

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Where they differ

CME FedWatch Tool

Distinct strengths include:

Central Bank WatcherAPIs & SDKsCalendar
  • Meeting‑by‑meeting probabilities of FOMC target‑rate outcomes implied by Fed Funds futures.
  • Compare view (current vs 1‑day/1‑week/1‑month ago) and Historical panel.
  • Fed ‘Dot Plot’ chart plus table view.
  • One‑click PDF generation of the current page and Excel downloads for historical probabilities.

okama

Distinct strengths include:

QuantPortfolioCorrelationBacktestingRisk Metrics (VaR/ES/Drawdown)Monte CarloETF PerformanceInflation Rates
  • Interactive Efficient Frontier (mean–variance) widget for quick visualization.
  • Compare-assets widget covering returns, drawdowns, CVaR, and correlations.
  • Portfolio widget built on adjusted monthly data for risk/return analysis.
  • Python library supports mean–variance optimization, rebalancing scenarios, backtesting, and advanced risk metrics such as VaR, CVaR, semideviation, and drawdowns.

Feature-by-feature breakdown

AttributeCME FedWatch Toolokama
Categories

Which research workflows each platform targets

Shared: Interest Rates, Data APIs, Data Visualizations

Unique: Central Bank Watcher, APIs & SDKs, Calendar

Shared: Interest Rates, Data APIs, Data Visualizations

Unique: Quant, Portfolio, Correlation, Backtesting, Risk Metrics (VaR/ES/Drawdown), Monte Carlo, ETF Performance, Inflation Rates

Asset types

Supported asset classes and universes

Futures

Stocks, ETFs, Commodities, Currencies, Mutual Funds

Experience levels

Who each product is built for

Beginner, Intermediate, Advanced

Beginner, Intermediate, Advanced

Platforms

Where you can access the product

Web, API

Web, API

Pricing

High-level pricing models

Free, Subscription

Free

Key features

Core capabilities called out by each vendor

Unique

  • Meeting‑by‑meeting probabilities of FOMC target‑rate outcomes implied by Fed Funds futures.
  • Compare view (current vs 1‑day/1‑week/1‑month ago) and Historical panel.
  • Fed ‘Dot Plot’ chart plus table view.
  • One‑click PDF generation of the current page and Excel downloads for historical probabilities.
  • Transparent methodology: unconditional probabilities via a binary probability tree built from implied EFFR, assuming 25 bp step sizes.
  • FedWatch REST API (OAuth2) with endpoints for /forecasts and /meetings (future/history); extended history available.

Unique

  • Interactive Efficient Frontier (mean–variance) widget for quick visualization.
  • Compare-assets widget covering returns, drawdowns, CVaR, and correlations.
  • Portfolio widget built on adjusted monthly data for risk/return analysis.
  • Python library supports mean–variance optimization, rebalancing scenarios, backtesting, and advanced risk metrics such as VaR, CVaR, semideviation, and drawdowns.
  • Monte Carlo simulations and wealth-index forecasts with percentile bands.
  • Free end-of-day market and macroeconomic data via API, including equities, ETFs, mutual funds, commodities, currencies, indexes, inflation, policy rates, and CAPE10 ratios.
Tested

Verified by hands-on testing inside Find My Moat

Not yet

Yes

Editor pick

Featured inside curated shortlists

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Frequently Asked Questions

Which workflows do CME FedWatch Tool and okama both support?

Both platforms cover Interest Rates, Data APIs, and Data Visualizations workflows, so you can research those use cases in either tool before digging into the feature differences below.

Do CME FedWatch Tool and okama require subscriptions?

Both CME FedWatch Tool and okama keep freemium access with optional paid upgrades, so you can trial each platform before committing.

How can you access CME FedWatch Tool and okama?

Both CME FedWatch Tool and okama prioritize web or desktop access. Investors wanting a mobile-first workflow may need to rely on responsive web views.

What unique strengths set the two platforms apart?

CME FedWatch Tool differentiates itself with Meeting‑by‑meeting probabilities of FOMC target‑rate outcomes implied by Fed Funds futures., Compare view (current vs 1‑day/1‑week/1‑month ago) and Historical panel., and Fed ‘Dot Plot’ chart plus table view., whereas okama stands out for Interactive Efficient Frontier (mean–variance) widget for quick visualization., Compare-assets widget covering returns, drawdowns, CVaR, and correlations., and Portfolio widget built on adjusted monthly data for risk/return analysis..

Keep exploring

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Stay on top of related tools

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Curation & Accuracy

This directory blends AI‑assisted discovery with human curation. Entries are reviewed, edited, and organized with the goal of expanding coverage and sharpening quality over time. Your feedback helps steer improvements (because no single human can capture everything all at once).

Details change. Pricing, features, and availability may be incomplete or out of date. Treat listings as a starting point and verify on the provider’s site before making decisions. If you spot an error or a gap, send a quick note and I’ll adjust.