VOL. XCIV, NO. 247

★ FINANCIAL TOOLS & SERVICES DIRECTORY ★

PRICE: 5 CENTS

Tuesday, November 11, 2025

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Tool Comparison

CME FedWatch Tool vs Federal Reserve Bank of New York — Data & Statistics comparison

Compare pricing, supported platforms, categories, and standout capabilities to decide which tool fits your workflow.

Quick takeaways

CME FedWatch Tool adds Data Visualizations coverage that Federal Reserve Bank of New York — Data & Statistics skips.

Federal Reserve Bank of New York — Data & Statistics includes Yield Curves, Housing & Construction, Inflation Rates, and Newsletters categories that CME FedWatch Tool omits.

In depth comparison

CME FedWatch Tool

cmegroup.com

Official CME probabilities for upcoming FOMC decisions, derived from 30‑Day Fed Funds (ZQ) futures. Web tool provides meeting‑by‑meeting probability matrices, comparisons over time, a historical download, and a Dot Plot view. A paid REST API is available for programmatic access. CME documents the probability‑tree methodology clearly; API snapshots update on business days at ~01:45 UTC. Media usage asks attribution to “CME FedWatch.”

Platforms

WebAPI

Pricing

FreeSubscription

Quick highlights

Meeting‑by‑meeting probabilities of FOMC target‑rate outcomes implied by Fed Funds futures.
Compare view (current vs 1‑day/1‑week/1‑month ago) and Historical panel.
Fed ‘Dot Plot’ chart plus table view.
One‑click PDF generation of the current page and Excel downloads for historical probabilities.
Transparent methodology: unconditional probabilities via a binary probability tree built from implied EFFR, assuming 25 bp step sizes.

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Federal Reserve Bank of New York — Data & Statistics

newyorkfed.org

Official New York Fed hub for rates, markets operations data, and research indicators. Highlights: reference rates (EFFR, OBFR, SOFR & SOFR Averages/Index), Markets Data Dashboard, SOMA holdings & operations results, Primary Dealer Statistics, GSCPI, SCE microdata, and regional surveys (e.g., Empire State Manufacturing). Markets Data APIs and page-level export tools provide JSON/CSV/XML/Excel programmatic access. Publication times for key rates are stated (e.g., SOFR ~8:00 a.m. ET; EFFR ~9:00 a.m. ET).

Platforms

WebAPI

Pricing

Free

Quick highlights

Markets Data Dashboard: one stop for Desk operations and reference rates (repos/RRP, Treasury & Agency MBS operations, liquidity swaps, SOMA holdings, Primary Dealer Statistics).
Reference rates administered by NY Fed: EFFR, OBFR, SOFR (plus BGCR/TGCR/Tri‑party GC), with stated daily publication times.
SOFR Averages (30/90/180‑day) & SOFR Index (index = 1.00000000 on April 2, 2018) with methodology notes.
Primary Dealer Statistics: weekly time series (positions, transactions, financing, fails) back to Jan 28, 1998; updated Thursdays ~4:15 p.m. ET; exportable for automated use.
SOMA holdings: ‘Data Export Builder’ with direct downloads and API construction guidance.

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Where they differ

CME FedWatch Tool

Distinct strengths include:

Data Visualizations

Meeting‑by‑meeting probabilities of FOMC target‑rate outcomes implied by Fed Funds futures.
Compare view (current vs 1‑day/1‑week/1‑month ago) and Historical panel.
Fed ‘Dot Plot’ chart plus table view.
One‑click PDF generation of the current page and Excel downloads for historical probabilities.

Federal Reserve Bank of New York — Data & Statistics

Distinct strengths include:

Yield Curves Housing & Construction Inflation Rates Newsletters

Markets Data Dashboard: one stop for Desk operations and reference rates (repos/RRP, Treasury & Agency MBS operations, liquidity swaps, SOMA holdings, Primary Dealer Statistics).
Reference rates administered by NY Fed: EFFR, OBFR, SOFR (plus BGCR/TGCR/Tri‑party GC), with stated daily publication times.
SOFR Averages (30/90/180‑day) & SOFR Index (index = 1.00000000 on April 2, 2018) with methodology notes.
Primary Dealer Statistics: weekly time series (positions, transactions, financing, fails) back to Jan 28, 1998; updated Thursdays ~4:15 p.m. ET; exportable for automated use.

Feature-by-feature breakdown

Attribute	CME FedWatch Tool	Federal Reserve Bank of New York — Data & Statistics
Categories Which research workflows each platform targets	Shared: Central Bank Watcher, Interest Rates, Data APIs, APIs & SDKs, Calendar Unique: Data Visualizations	Shared: Central Bank Watcher, Interest Rates, Data APIs, APIs & SDKs, Calendar Unique: Yield Curves, Housing & Construction, Inflation Rates, Newsletters
Asset types Supported asset classes and universes	Futures	Bonds, Currencies, Other
Experience levels Who each product is built for	Beginner, Intermediate, Advanced	Beginner, Intermediate, Advanced
Platforms Where you can access the product	Web, API	Web, API
Pricing High-level pricing models	Free, Subscription	Free
Key features Core capabilities called out by each vendor	Unique Meeting‑by‑meeting probabilities of FOMC target‑rate outcomes implied by Fed Funds futures. Compare view (current vs 1‑day/1‑week/1‑month ago) and Historical panel. Fed ‘Dot Plot’ chart plus table view. One‑click PDF generation of the current page and Excel downloads for historical probabilities. Transparent methodology: unconditional probabilities via a binary probability tree built from implied EFFR, assuming 25 bp step sizes. FedWatch REST API (OAuth2) with endpoints for /forecasts and /meetings (future/history); extended history available.	Unique Markets Data Dashboard: one stop for Desk operations and reference rates (repos/RRP, Treasury & Agency MBS operations, liquidity swaps, SOMA holdings, Primary Dealer Statistics). Reference rates administered by NY Fed: EFFR, OBFR, SOFR (plus BGCR/TGCR/Tri‑party GC), with stated daily publication times. SOFR Averages (30/90/180‑day) & SOFR Index (index = 1.00000000 on April 2, 2018) with methodology notes. Primary Dealer Statistics: weekly time series (positions, transactions, financing, fails) back to Jan 28, 1998; updated Thursdays ~4:15 p.m. ET; exportable for automated use. SOMA holdings: ‘Data Export Builder’ with direct downloads and API construction guidance. Regional + national indicators: Empire State Manufacturing Survey (monthly; 8:30 a.m. releases with CSV tables), Business Leaders Survey, Survey of Consumer Expectations (dashboards and public microdata), GSCPI, term premia & yield‑curve indicators.
Tested Verified by hands-on testing inside Find My Moat	Not yet	Not yet
Editor pick Featured inside curated shortlists	Standard listing	Standard listing

Frequently Asked Questions

Which workflows do CME FedWatch Tool and Federal Reserve Bank of New York — Data & Statistics both support?

Both platforms cover Central Bank Watcher, Interest Rates, Data APIs, APIs & SDKs, and Calendar workflows, so you can research those use cases in either tool before digging into the feature differences below.

Do CME FedWatch Tool and Federal Reserve Bank of New York — Data & Statistics require subscriptions?

Both CME FedWatch Tool and Federal Reserve Bank of New York — Data & Statistics keep freemium access with optional paid upgrades, so you can trial each platform before committing.

How can you access CME FedWatch Tool and Federal Reserve Bank of New York — Data & Statistics?

Both CME FedWatch Tool and Federal Reserve Bank of New York — Data & Statistics prioritize web or desktop access. Investors wanting a mobile-first workflow may need to rely on responsive web views.

What unique strengths set the two platforms apart?

CME FedWatch Tool differentiates itself with Meeting‑by‑meeting probabilities of FOMC target‑rate outcomes implied by Fed Funds futures., Compare view (current vs 1‑day/1‑week/1‑month ago) and Historical panel., and Fed ‘Dot Plot’ chart plus table view., whereas Federal Reserve Bank of New York — Data & Statistics stands out for Markets Data Dashboard: one stop for Desk operations and reference rates (repos/RRP, Treasury & Agency MBS operations, liquidity swaps, SOMA holdings, Primary Dealer Statistics)., Reference rates administered by NY Fed: EFFR, OBFR, SOFR (plus BGCR/TGCR/Tri‑party GC), with stated daily publication times., and SOFR Averages (30/90/180‑day) & SOFR Index (index = 1.00000000 on April 2, 2018) with methodology notes..

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