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Evolution AB EVO

Nasdaq StockholmTravel, lodging and leisureFinancials to Jun 30, 2026 · Updated Oct 7, 2026

On Stock Analysis · affiliate link
EVO financials
Moat score
77
ROIC
35.3%
P/E
12.4
EV/EBIT
9.7
FCF yield
8.9%
Dividend yield
0.0%
Market cap
€13.2B

Moat ranks

Score rankTied #181 of 396
Durabilitydurable
Market structureOligopoly
Pricing powermoderate

Balance sheet

6/30/26
€BDec 31Jun 30
Cash0.81.1
Securities0.00.0
Long-term securities0.10.0
Debt0.00.0
Net cash0.91.1
Equity4.14.2
Leverage
Debt / EBITDA
0.00×
Debt / equity
0.00×
Leases (6/30/26)
€90M
Capital
Diluted shares
197M
Book value / share
€21.47
Price / book
3.1×
Net cash / share
€5.79
Market cap
€13.2B
Enterprise value
€12.1B

Per-share record

Fiscal years and TTM
Scale
€0€5€10€15'16'17'18'19'20'21'22'23'2410.18'2510.40TTM
Revenue per shareCash flow per share

Key indicators

Latest: Q2 '26
IndicatorLatestVs year agoLast 8 quarters
Revenue growth-1.2%-4.4 pts
Operating margin57.5%-0.9 pts
FCF margin49.9%+13.2 pts
Capex / revenue6.7%+0.4 pts
Live net revenue€437M-4%
RNG net revenue€81M+14%
Regulated-market revenue share49.0%+5.0 pts
Full-time employees16,298–
System availability · 12/31/2599.9%-0.1 pts

Margins and growth from reported quarters; company KPIs as reported in results releases.

About EVO

Evolution supplies live dealer games and RNG casino content to roughly 870 operators. Live produced 85.8% of FY2025 net revenue, supported by studios, broadcast systems and operating know-how that take time to reproduce.

Revenue mix
Live Casino 85.8%RNG / Slots & Digital Casino Games 14.2%
  • Capex Knowhow Scale

    Operating a global, high-uptime live-dealer studio network requires substantial facilities, presenters, broadcast technology and round-the-clock process execution.

  • Compliance Advantage

    A broad supplier-licence and certification footprint supports access to regulated jurisdictions, but licensing is required table stakes for credible rivals.

  • Suite Bundling

    A single integration and unified back office lower the effort to add Evolution-owned brands and support cross-sell.

  • Suite Bundling

    OSS lowers the integration effort for operators to add Evolution-owned RNG studios and supports cross-sell from Live relationships.

Timeline
  1. Sep 29, 2026

    Evolution launched Spinning Whale for North American slot players, with games distributed exclusively through OSS; the November network rollout expands its RNG catalogue and cross-sell opportunity.

  2. Sep 22, 2026

    Evolution’s extraordinary meeting approved treasury share cancellation; 16,168,492 shares were cancelled during September, reducing the issued capital while the buyback programme continued.

  3. Sep 18, 2026

    Boyd Interactive appointed Evolution as its exclusive Live Dealer provider across its North American online brands; this secures one customer relationship without proving wider industry lock-in.

  4. Sep 16, 2026

    Candle Lake declared its mandatory offer unconditional with 31.6% of shares and votes and 33.8% economic exposure including cash-settled swaps; ownership concentration rose without a full takeover.

  5. Sep 9, 2026

    Playtech announced that a September 8 court filing made the Spectrum report public and alleged it supported concerns about prohibited-market access. This is a rival’s disputed interpretation, not a new regulatory finding, but it adds compliance and reputation risk.

Financial record

Fiscal year2016201720182019202020212022202320242025TTMTrendChange 2016–25
Per share (€)
Revenue0.640.981.341.992.974.826.708.299.8010.1810.40+36.1%/yr
Cash flow0.230.340.550.961.672.704.035.386.186.186.63+44.3%/yr
Earnings0.180.340.460.821.512.733.884.935.915.235.39+45.8%/yr
Free cash flow0.060.230.370.791.482.423.594.955.535.525.93+66.7%/yr
Capex0.170.120.180.160.200.280.450.430.650.660.70+16.2%/yr
Dividends0.060.090.180.240.400.651.391.972.662.820.00+52.4%/yr
Book value0.350.600.891.5314.4214.3915.9118.4618.8720.0921.47+56.7%/yr
Diluted shares (M)181182183183189222218217210203197+1.3%/yr
Totals (€B)
Revenue0.10.20.20.40.61.11.51.82.12.12.1+37.8%/yr
Operating income0.00.10.10.20.30.70.91.11.41.31.2+48.9%/yr
Net income0.00.10.10.10.30.60.81.11.21.11.1+47.7%/yr
Free cash flow0.00.00.10.10.30.50.81.11.21.11.2+68.8%/yr
Buybacks0.00.00.00.00.00.10.10.10.70.50.6–
Dividends0.00.00.00.00.10.10.30.40.60.60.0+54.4%/yr
Net cash0.00.00.10.20.20.40.51.00.90.91.1+€0.9B
Margins & returns (%)
Operating margin30.337.536.543.153.461.262.363.568.860.860.3+30.5 pts
Net margin27.634.934.040.950.756.657.959.560.351.451.8+23.8 pts
FCF margin8.723.327.339.849.850.353.659.756.454.257.0+45.5 pts
ROIC66.486.394.0133.410.520.727.133.239.333.935.3-32.5 pts
Return on equity49.756.551.453.310.419.024.426.731.326.125.1-23.6 pts
Stock pay % of revenue0.00.00.2––0.40.20.10.10.1–+0.1 pts
Capex % of revenue27.111.813.58.26.65.86.75.26.66.56.7-20.6 pts

Change uses 2016 and 2025 only: compound annual growth for amounts, points for margins and returns, and the change in amount for net cash. A dash means no 2016 base. Trend shows the fiscal years.

TTM = four quarters to Jun 30, 2026. Per-share values use diluted weighted shares.ROIC = operating income × (1 − 11.9% tax rate, the company's own over three fiscal years excluding one-offs) ÷ (equity + debt − cash and current securities). Returns show a dash when their base is negative or under 10% of revenue. Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capex. Debt is all borrowings; net cash counts long-term securities and excludes leases.

Moat

Moat scorecard

Moat score77
Strength
Confidence
Structure
Oligopoly
Durability
durable
Trajectory
narrowing
Pricing power
moderate
Segments
  • Live Casino85.8%
    3 claims
  • RNG / Slots & Digital Casino Games14.2%
    1 claim

Moat claims

Applies to
Live Casino
Confidence
Durability
durable
Trajectory
narrowingas of Oct 7, 2026
Why it holds

Operating a global, high-uptime live-dealer studio network requires substantial facilities, presenters, broadcast technology and round-the-clock process execution. The footprint is difficult to reproduce quickly, but first-half Live revenue fell 3.3%, so scale is not immunity from demand, access or execution pressure.

Why narrowing

First-half 2026 Live revenue fell 3.3% and FY2025 uptime slipped to 99.90% from 99.96%; new local studios extend the footprint, but growth and reliability no longer show a widening lead.

Indicators
  • Live net revenue€437M-4%
  • System availability99.9%-0.1 pts
  • Full-time employees16,298
Risks
  • Sustained studio cost inflation (wages, energy, rent)
  • Operational incidents/outages that damage trust
  • Technology commoditization in streaming/encoding

Profile change log

  1. Oct 7, 2026 · business change

    Playtech announced that a September 8 court filing made the Spectrum report public and alleged it supported concerns about prohibited-market access. This is a rival’s disputed interpretation, not a new regulatory finding, but it adds compliance and reputation risk.

  2. Oct 7, 2026 · business change

    The USPTO ended three parallel patent reviews because the district court had already found the challenged claims invalid; ending those reviews did not restore the patents’ enforceability.

  3. Oct 7, 2026 · business change

    The Nevada federal court dismissed Evolution’s remaining patent claims against Light & Wonder with prejudice, limiting legal protection for the challenged game mechanics while trade-secret claims remained in arbitration.

  4. Oct 7, 2026 · business change

    Evolution launched Spinning Whale for North American slot players, with games distributed exclusively through OSS; the November network rollout expands its RNG catalogue and cross-sell opportunity.

  5. Oct 7, 2026 · business change

    Evolution’s extraordinary meeting approved treasury share cancellation; 16,168,492 shares were cancelled during September, reducing the issued capital while the buyback programme continued.

  6. Oct 7, 2026 · business change

    Boyd Interactive appointed Evolution as its exclusive Live Dealer provider across its North American online brands; this secures one customer relationship without proving wider industry lock-in.

  7. Oct 7, 2026 · business change

    Candle Lake declared its mandatory offer unconditional with 31.6% of shares and votes and 33.8% economic exposure including cash-settled swaps; ownership concentration rose without a full takeover.

  8. Oct 7, 2026 · business change

    The UK Gambling Commission published its GBP4.75M settlement and found serious weaknesses in Evolution’s money-laundering controls; continued market access now depends on sustained improvements.

  9. Oct 7, 2026 · business change

    Evolution terminated the Galaxy Gaming merger and owes a USD5.234678M fee; the existing commercial relationship continues, but the planned table-game rights acquisition will not proceed.

  10. Oct 7, 2026 · analyst revision

    Completed four moat trajectories, the investment debate, management and separate Live and RNG end markets. Kept all four claims and their strengths; corrected the Light & Wonder peer to its sole ASX listing and removed the obsolete public IGT gaming ticker; changed revenue weights from first-half 2026 to the latest full-year mix in the audited FY2025 report.

Industry & peers

Peer map

0%10%20%30%40%50%60708090100Moat scoreIndustry medianEVO
No peer numbers yet

Peers appear on the map as their numbers are collected.

Global B2B live casino content

As of Oct 7, 2026
OligopolyMedium cyclicality

Supplier revenue from live dealer tables and streamed casino game shows licensed to online gambling operators. Excludes player stakes, operator gross gaming revenue, RNG slots and land-based casino operations.

  1. Evolution
  2. Playtech
  3. Pragmatic Play
2020 leaders, no comparable shares · CMA Evolution/NetEnt decision
StocksMoatGross m.Op. m.
EVO77–60.3%
Industry median98077.7%32.9%
Sector median857455.5%16.9%
All stocks median3987652.9%19.6%

Moat medians cover every stock. Margin medians count only stocks with collected numbers and need at least three.

Drivers & risks

Demand drivers
  • Migration from land-based gambling to online play expands demand for streamed tables and game shows.
  • Newly regulated markets require local studios, licences and native-language presenters, favouring established suppliers able to fund them.
  • Mobile bandwidth and real-time game formats widen access; differentiated content can raise player engagement.
  • Operators seek exclusive tables and branded experiences, which can support longer customer relationships.
Risks
  • Regulatory actions, tax increases and restrictions on unlicensed distribution can remove revenue faster than studios can reduce costs.
  • Cybercrime, outages and labour disputes disrupt real-time play and damage trust.
  • Presenter wages, studio rents and compliance costs can rise while commission revenue stagnates.
  • Large operators can negotiate commercial terms and add competing suppliers; Playtech and Pragmatic Play can expand local capacity.
  • Recessions and weak consumer spending reduce discretionary gambling; exchange rates move reported EUR revenue and local studio costs. Rates matter more for surplus-cash income than borrowing costs for net-cash suppliers.

Bulls & bears

Key question · as of Oct 7, 2026

Can regulated-market expansion and new content restore Live revenue growth without weakening studio margins or market access?

Arguments

4 forFaded: weakening or settled6 against

What to watch

  1. 1Live net revenue and system availability
  2. 2Revenue from regulated player locations and new regulatory findings
  3. 3RNG net revenue and operator customer count

Next check: Q3 2026 results on October 23, 2026: test Live growth, Asia access, regulatory controls and the cash cost of capital returns.

Sources: company filings and dated sources collected for Find My Moat; market cap as of Oct 6, 2026. Not investment advice.

Cite or reuse this data

Free to reuse, commercially too, with a credit link. See the data license.

Moat Score 77/100 by <a href="https://www.findmymoat.com/stocks/XSTO:EVO">Find My Moat</a> (as of September 2026)

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