VOL. XCIV, NO. 247
★ FINANCIAL TOOLS & SERVICES DIRECTORY ★
PRICE: 5 CENTS
Saturday, September 27, 2025
Investors comparing CME FedWatch Tool and Office of Financial Research (U.S. Treasury) will find that Both CME FedWatch Tool and Office of Financial Research (U.S. Treasury) concentrate on Interest Rates, Data APIs, and APIs & SDKs workflows, making them natural alternatives for similar investment research jobs. CME FedWatch Tool leans into Central Bank Watcher, and Calendar, which can be decisive for teams that need depth over breadth. Office of Financial Research (U.S. Treasury) stands out with Yield Curves, Scores, and Market Sentiment that the competition lacks. Use the feature-by-feature table to inspect unique capabilities and confirm which roadmap best maps to your process.
Head-to-head
CME FedWatch Tool vs Office of Financial Research (U.S. Treasury)
Compare pricing, supported platforms, categories, and standout capabilities to decide which tool fits your workflow.
Quick takeaways
- CME FedWatch Tool adds Central Bank Watcher, and Calendar coverage that Office of Financial Research (U.S. Treasury) skips.
- Office of Financial Research (U.S. Treasury) includes Yield Curves, Scores, Market Sentiment, Fund Holdings, and Blogs categories that CME FedWatch Tool omits.
- CME FedWatch Tool highlights: Meeting‑by‑meeting probabilities of FOMC target‑rate outcomes implied by Fed Funds futures., Compare view (current vs 1‑day/1‑week/1‑month ago) and Historical panel., and Fed ‘Dot Plot’ chart plus table view..
- Office of Financial Research (U.S. Treasury) is known for: Short‑term Funding Monitor (STFM): curated repo/CP/CD/FF market charts plus **open REST API** (JSON, HTTPS) with series search, metadata, and spread endpoints; no tokens required., U.S. Money Market Fund Monitor: interactive holdings transparency by asset type, counterparty, country; per‑chart **CSV download**., and Hedge Fund Monitor (HFM): aggregated Form PF and related series via an **open REST API** (JSON) organized by datasets and mnemonics..
CME FedWatch Tool
cmegroup.com
Official CME probabilities for upcoming FOMC decisions, derived from 30‑Day Fed Funds (ZQ) futures. Web tool provides meeting‑by‑meeting probability matrices, comparisons over time, a historical download, and a Dot Plot view. A paid REST API is available for programmatic access. CME documents the probability‑tree methodology clearly; API snapshots update on business days at ~01:45 UTC. Media usage asks attribution to “CME FedWatch.”
Platforms
Pricing
Quick highlights
- Meeting‑by‑meeting probabilities of FOMC target‑rate outcomes implied by Fed Funds futures.
- Compare view (current vs 1‑day/1‑week/1‑month ago) and Historical panel.
- Fed ‘Dot Plot’ chart plus table view.
- One‑click PDF generation of the current page and Excel downloads for historical probabilities.
- Transparent methodology: unconditional probabilities via a binary probability tree built from implied EFFR, assuming 25 bp step sizes.
Office of Financial Research (U.S. Treasury)
financialresearch.gov
U.S. Treasury’s OFR publishes free, methods‑backed monitors and datasets (Short‑term Funding Monitor, U.S. Money Market Fund Monitor, Bank Systemic Risk Monitor, and the daily OFR Financial Stress Index). STFM and HFM provide open JSON APIs (no keys), CSV downloads are available from some monitors. Updates are end‑of‑day with documented lags (e.g., FSI ~T+2 business days; repo series T+1/T+2 depending on segment).
Categories
Platforms
Pricing
Quick highlights
- Short‑term Funding Monitor (STFM): curated repo/CP/CD/FF market charts plus **open REST API** (JSON, HTTPS) with series search, metadata, and spread endpoints; no tokens required.
- U.S. Money Market Fund Monitor: interactive holdings transparency by asset type, counterparty, country; per‑chart **CSV download**.
- Hedge Fund Monitor (HFM): aggregated Form PF and related series via an **open REST API** (JSON) organized by datasets and mnemonics.
- OFR Financial Stress Index (FSI): **daily** global market‑based stress index built from 33 variables; FSI values publish with a ~**two‑business‑day** lag.
- Bank Systemic Risk Monitor: G‑SIB scores/surcharges, OFR Contagion Index, leverage/assets/equity; clear notes on refresh cadence (e.g., Basel scores annually, contagion index quarterly).
Shared focus areas
Both platforms align on these research themes, so you can stay within one workflow when your use case involves them.
Where they differ
CME FedWatch Tool
Distinct strengths include:
- Meeting‑by‑meeting probabilities of FOMC target‑rate outcomes implied by Fed Funds futures.
- Compare view (current vs 1‑day/1‑week/1‑month ago) and Historical panel.
- Fed ‘Dot Plot’ chart plus table view.
- One‑click PDF generation of the current page and Excel downloads for historical probabilities.
Office of Financial Research (U.S. Treasury)
Distinct strengths include:
- Short‑term Funding Monitor (STFM): curated repo/CP/CD/FF market charts plus **open REST API** (JSON, HTTPS) with series search, metadata, and spread endpoints; no tokens required.
- U.S. Money Market Fund Monitor: interactive holdings transparency by asset type, counterparty, country; per‑chart **CSV download**.
- Hedge Fund Monitor (HFM): aggregated Form PF and related series via an **open REST API** (JSON) organized by datasets and mnemonics.
- OFR Financial Stress Index (FSI): **daily** global market‑based stress index built from 33 variables; FSI values publish with a ~**two‑business‑day** lag.
Feature-by-feature breakdown
| Attribute | CME FedWatch Tool | Office of Financial Research (U.S. Treasury) |
|---|---|---|
Categories Which research workflows each platform targets | Shared: Interest Rates, Data APIs, APIs & SDKs, Data Visualizations Unique: Central Bank Watcher, Calendar | Shared: Interest Rates, Data APIs, APIs & SDKs, Data Visualizations Unique: Yield Curves, Scores, Market Sentiment, Fund Holdings, Blogs |
Asset types Supported asset classes and universes | Futures | Bonds, Mutual Funds, Hedge Funds |
Experience levels Who each product is built for | Beginner, Intermediate, Advanced | Beginner, Intermediate, Advanced |
Platforms Where you can access the product | Web, API | Web, API |
Pricing High-level pricing models | Free, Subscription | Free |
Key features Core capabilities called out by each vendor | Unique
| Unique
|
Tested Verified by hands-on testing inside Find My Moat | Not yet | Not yet |
Editor pick Featured inside curated shortlists | Standard listing | Standard listing |
Frequently Asked Questions
Which workflows do CME FedWatch Tool and Office of Financial Research (U.S. Treasury) both support?
Both platforms cover Interest Rates, Data APIs, APIs & SDKs, and Data Visualizations workflows, so you can research those use cases in either tool before digging into the feature differences below.
Do CME FedWatch Tool and Office of Financial Research (U.S. Treasury) require subscriptions?
Both CME FedWatch Tool and Office of Financial Research (U.S. Treasury) keep freemium access with optional paid upgrades, so you can trial each platform before committing.
How can you access CME FedWatch Tool and Office of Financial Research (U.S. Treasury)?
Both CME FedWatch Tool and Office of Financial Research (U.S. Treasury) prioritize web or desktop access. Investors wanting a mobile-first workflow may need to rely on responsive web views.
What unique strengths set the two platforms apart?
CME FedWatch Tool differentiates itself with Meeting‑by‑meeting probabilities of FOMC target‑rate outcomes implied by Fed Funds futures., Compare view (current vs 1‑day/1‑week/1‑month ago) and Historical panel., and Fed ‘Dot Plot’ chart plus table view., whereas Office of Financial Research (U.S. Treasury) stands out for Short‑term Funding Monitor (STFM): curated repo/CP/CD/FF market charts plus **open REST API** (JSON, HTTPS) with series search, metadata, and spread endpoints; no tokens required., U.S. Money Market Fund Monitor: interactive holdings transparency by asset type, counterparty, country; per‑chart **CSV download**., and Hedge Fund Monitor (HFM): aggregated Form PF and related series via an **open REST API** (JSON) organized by datasets and mnemonics..
Curation & Accuracy
This directory blends AI‑assisted discovery with human curation. Entries are reviewed, edited, and organized with the goal of expanding coverage and sharpening quality over time. Your feedback helps steer improvements (because no single human can capture everything all at once).
Details change. Pricing, features, and availability may be incomplete or out of date. Treat listings as a starting point and verify on the provider’s site before making decisions. If you spot an error or a gap, send a quick note and I’ll adjust.