VOL. XCIV, NO. 247

★ WIDE MOAT STOCKS & COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGES ★

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Sunday, December 28, 2025

ASX Limited

ASX · ASX

Market cap (USD)
SectorFinancials
CountryAU
Data as of
Moat score
80/ 100

Weighted average of segment moat scores, combining moat strength, durability, confidence, market structure, pricing power, and market share.

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Overview

ASX Limited is Australia's vertically integrated exchange and market-infrastructure operator across Listings, Markets (trading), Securities & Payments (clearing/settlement) and Technology & Data. The strongest moat sits in post-trade clearing and settlement, where licensed CS facilities and market-wide integration create a regulated, high-switching-cost structure. Trading and listings benefit from liquidity-driven network effects, but face an increasingly competitive and regulated landscape, including a growing rival venue (Cboe) and heightened scrutiny after CHESS-related operational incidents.

Primary segment

Markets

Market structure

Duopoly

Market share

80%-84% (reported)

HHI: 6,500

Coverage

4 segments · 6 tags

Updated 2025-12-28

Segments

Listings

Securities listing venue (equity and investment product listings)

Revenue

18.8%

Structure

Quasi-Monopoly

Pricing

moderate

Share

Peers

CBOEICEJPXLSEG+1

Markets

Trading venues for Australian cash equities and exchange-traded derivatives (futures, options)

Revenue

31.5%

Structure

Duopoly

Pricing

moderate

Share

80%-84% (reported)

Peers

CBOECMEICENDAQ

Technology & Data

Exchange information services (market data) and technical connectivity/technology services

Revenue

24.9%

Structure

Competitive

Pricing

moderate

Share

Peers

ICELSEGNDAQSPGI

Securities & Payments

Clearing, settlement and depository infrastructure for Australian securities (cash equities and fixed income)

Revenue

24.8%

Structure

Monopoly

Pricing

strong

Share

Peers

CMEICELSEG

Moat Claims

Listings

Securities listing venue (equity and investment product listings)

Revenue share computed from ASX FY25 operating revenue by business: Listings A$208.0m of total operating revenue A$1,107.2m (FY ended 30 Jun 2025).

Quasi-Monopoly

Concession License

Legal

Strength: 3/5 · Durability: durable · Confidence: 4/5 · 2 evidence

Operating a listing market in Australia requires regulatory approval; the small number of licensed venues limits entry and supports ongoing listing-fee economics.

Erosion risks

  • Listing competition from other licensed venues (e.g., Cboe) increases
  • Regulatory reforms lower barriers or encourage dual listings
  • IPO supply shifts to private markets or offshore exchanges

Leading indicators

  • Share of new listings (count and value) captured by ASX vs rivals
  • Net listings growth and delistings
  • Listing-related revenue growth and fee schedule changes

Counterarguments

  • Issuers can dual-list or list offshore, reducing dependence on ASX
  • Listing rules and venue services can be replicated, pressuring fees if rivals gain traction

Two Sided Network

Network

Strength: 4/5 · Durability: durable · Confidence: 3/5 · 1 evidence

A dominant pool of investor liquidity and market participants makes the primary venue more attractive for issuers; additional listings in turn deepen market breadth-supporting a two-sided network loop (issuer <-> investor/participant).

Erosion risks

  • Trading and listing fragmentation reduces the liquidity advantage
  • Regulatory interventions promote venue competition and interoperability
  • Shift to private markets reduces listing-network relevance

Leading indicators

  • ASX vs Cboe turnover share (dollar turnover)
  • Market depth and spread metrics
  • Dual-listing and migration events for large issuers

Counterarguments

  • If order flow can be routed cheaply across venues, network effects weaken
  • Large issuers can list elsewhere while still accessing Australian capital via intermediaries

Markets

Trading venues for Australian cash equities and exchange-traded derivatives (futures, options)

Revenue share computed from ASX FY25 operating revenue by business: Markets A$349.2m of total operating revenue A$1,107.2m (FY ended 30 Jun 2025).

Duopoly

Two Sided Network

Network

Strength: 4/5 · Durability: durable · Confidence: 4/5 · 2 evidence

Liquidity concentration and deep participant connectivity reinforce venue choice for on-book trading; this supports transaction and access-fee economics even with a competing venue.

Erosion risks

  • Competitive pressure from Cboe or new entrants reduces market share and fees
  • Higher off-book trading or alternative execution mechanisms reduce on-book economics
  • Technology outages or latency issues reduce trust and participation

Leading indicators

  • ASX cash equities turnover share and on-book share
  • Order-to-trade ratio and market quality metrics (spreads, depth)
  • System availability/outage incidents and remediation progress

Counterarguments

  • Trading is already a duopoly; routing and fee competition can compress margins
  • Volume and volatility are cyclical; fixed-cost leverage can cut both ways

Technology & Data

Exchange information services (market data) and technical connectivity/technology services

Revenue share computed from ASX FY25 operating revenue by business: Technology & Data A$275.6m of total operating revenue A$1,107.2m (FY ended 30 Jun 2025).

Competitive

Data Workflow Lockin

Demand

Strength: 3/5 · Durability: medium · Confidence: 3/5 · 1 evidence

ASX market data and connectivity/technical services are embedded in trading, risk and compliance workflows; switching is possible but entails integration and vendor/process change, and many customers multi-home with global data providers.

Erosion risks

  • Commoditization and fee pressure in market data
  • Customers shift to cloud-based data distribution and analytics alternatives
  • Regulatory scrutiny of market data pricing and access terms

Leading indicators

  • Information services revenue growth and churn
  • Connectivity and co-location demand
  • Regulatory or industry reviews of market data fees

Counterarguments

  • Customers can substitute with alternative data vendors and analytics stacks
  • Multi-homing reduces switching-cost leverage and limits pricing power

Securities & Payments

Clearing, settlement and depository infrastructure for Australian securities (cash equities and fixed income)

Revenue share computed from ASX FY25 operating revenue by business: Securities & Payments A$274.4m of total operating revenue A$1,107.2m (FY ended 30 Jun 2025).

Monopoly

Concession License

Legal

Strength: 5/5 · Durability: durable · Confidence: 5/5 · 3 evidence

Post-trade clearing and settlement is highly permissioned and supervised; ASX's CS facilities operate under Corporations Act licences with oversight by ASIC and the RBA's Financial Stability Standards framework.

Erosion risks

  • Regulatory reforms introduce competition or mandated interoperability in clearing/settlement
  • Operational risk incidents reduce regulator confidence and force structural remedies
  • Policy changes reduce permitted fee models for CS services

Leading indicators

  • RBA/ASIC assessment findings and conformance ratings
  • New rules or legislation on CS competition and access
  • Operational incidents (e.g., batch settlement failures) and remediation progress

Counterarguments

  • A licence moat is only as strong as ongoing regulator confidence; oversight can impose costly requirements
  • Competition can be introduced by policy even in a natural-monopoly industry

Switching Costs General

Demand

Strength: 4/5 · Durability: durable · Confidence: 4/5 · 2 evidence

Clearing/settlement involves market-wide participant integration and operational processes (e.g., settlement and share registration), making replacement or migration complex and costly for the ecosystem.

Erosion risks

  • Successful alternative CS infrastructure backed by policy or major participants
  • Mandatory open access to settlement services reduces lock-in economics
  • Significant outages accelerate industry push to change providers

Leading indicators

  • Industry consultations on CS competition/interoperability
  • Participant migration pilots or alternative settlement initiatives
  • Frequency/severity of CHESS incidents and contingency performance

Counterarguments

  • Switching costs can be overcome if regulators mandate migration timelines and standards
  • Alternative post-trade models (e.g., interoperability layers) can reduce dependency without full replacement

Evidence

news
Australia approves Cboe's bid to operate as local listing venue (Reuters)

there are now four exchanges in Australia licensed to list securities: ASX, Cboe, the National Stock Exchange of Australia (NSX), and the Sydney Stock Exchange (SSX).

Shows listing-market access is permissioned and limited to a small set of licensed venues.

regulation
ASIC 25-261MR Cboe Global Markets decision

ASIC approved Cboe Australia's listing application on 7 October 2025.

Demonstrates listings-market status is regulated and granted via ASIC approval.

dataset
ASIC equity market data for quarter ending September 2025

In the September 2025 quarter, ASX accounted for 82.1% of the total dollar turnover in equity market products.

High turnover share indicates liquidity concentration that can reinforce issuer preference for the dominant venue (network-effect inference).

dataset
ASIC equity market data for quarter ending September 2025

In the September 2025 quarter, ASX accounted for 82.1% of the total dollar turnover in equity market products. Cboe accounted for the remaining 17.9%...

Shows a duopoly with ASX as the dominant liquidity pool, consistent with a trading network effect.

other
ASX FY25 results market announcement (operating revenue by business)

Markets 349.2 (Operating revenue by business, FY25).

Used to compute segment revenue share and size of the Markets business.

Showing 5 of 12 sources.

Risks & Indicators

Erosion risks

  • Listing competition from other licensed venues (e.g., Cboe) increases
  • Regulatory reforms lower barriers or encourage dual listings
  • IPO supply shifts to private markets or offshore exchanges
  • Trading and listing fragmentation reduces the liquidity advantage
  • Regulatory interventions promote venue competition and interoperability
  • Shift to private markets reduces listing-network relevance

Leading indicators

  • Share of new listings (count and value) captured by ASX vs rivals
  • Net listings growth and delistings
  • Listing-related revenue growth and fee schedule changes
  • ASX vs Cboe turnover share (dollar turnover)
  • Market depth and spread metrics
  • Dual-listing and migration events for large issuers
Created 2025-12-28
Updated 2025-12-28

Curation & Accuracy

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