VOL. XCIV, NO. 247

★ WIDE MOAT STOCKS & COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGES ★

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Wednesday, December 31, 2025

Enbridge Inc.

ENB · Toronto Stock Exchange

Market cap (USD)$104.9B
SectorEnergy
CountryCA
Data as of
Moat score
92/ 100

Weighted average of segment moat scores, combining moat strength, durability, confidence, market structure, pricing power, and market share.

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Overview

Enbridge Inc. operates large-scale energy infrastructure across liquids pipelines, natural gas transmission/midstream, regulated gas utilities and storage, and a contracted renewables portfolio. Its moat is primarily structural: irreplaceable corridors and rights-of-way, plus regulated or long-term contracted commercial frameworks (take-or-pay and cost-of-service) that stabilize returns. The gas distribution business adds local franchise protection with regulator-set rates and allowed returns. Key risks are permitting/legal challenges to existing corridors, regulatory resets to allowed returns, and long-run volume pressure from energy transition and electrification.

Primary segment

Liquids Pipelines

Market structure

Oligopoly

Market share

29%-31% (reported)

HHI:

Coverage

4 segments · 6 tags

Updated 2025-12-31

Segments

Liquids Pipelines

Crude oil & liquids pipeline transportation plus terminals/storage

Revenue

72.8%

Structure

Oligopoly

Pricing

moderate

Share

29%-31% (reported)

Peers

TRPPBAKMIET+2

Gas Transmission and Midstream

Natural gas transmission pipelines, gathering/processing and storage

Revenue

11.8%

Structure

Oligopoly

Pricing

moderate

Share

19%-21% (reported)

Peers

WMBKMITRPET+2

Gas Distribution and Storage

Regulated natural gas distribution utilities and associated storage in their service territories

Revenue

14.4%

Structure

Monopoly

Pricing

moderate

Share

Peers

ATONIWECDUK+2

Renewable Power Generation

Renewable electricity generation (wind/solar/offshore wind) sold into regional power markets via PPAs

Revenue

1%

Structure

Competitive

Pricing

weak

Share

Peers

NEEBEPORSTED.COENEL.MI+2

Moat Claims

Liquids Pipelines

Crude oil & liquids pipeline transportation plus terminals/storage

Revenue_share and operating_profit_share are derived from FY2024 segmented operating revenues and segment EBITDA (annual report Note 5), excluding Eliminations and Other. Liquids revenues include large flow-through commodity sales and are not a clean profit proxy.

Oligopoly

Permits Rights Of Way

Legal

Strength

Durability

Confidence

Evidence

Cross-border liquid pipelines rely on entrenched easements/rights-of-way; permitting and land access friction makes new competing corridors very hard to build.

Erosion risks

  • Adverse court or regulatory outcomes affecting key rights-of-way
  • Political opposition delaying renewals/expansions
  • High-profile incidents increasing regulatory scrutiny

Leading indicators

  • Major permit/court milestones for corridor-critical assets
  • Mainline utilization and apportionment rates
  • Integrity spending and incident rate trend

Counterarguments

  • Incremental capacity from other routes can reduce corridor scarcity
  • Energy transition can erode long-run liquids throughput

Physical Network Density

Supply

Strength

Durability

Confidence

Evidence

Large, interconnected liquids network (pipelines + terminals/storage) creates a hard-to-replicate corridor from basins to refineries/export hubs with significant replacement cost.

Erosion risks

  • Route-specific demand shifts (basin declines or refinery reconfigurations)
  • Regulatory constraints limiting expansions
  • Competition from rail/truck in niche markets

Leading indicators

  • Throughput vs nameplate capacity by key system
  • Capital project backlog and in-service dates
  • Utilization changes after competing capacity additions

Counterarguments

  • Scale does not guarantee pricing power when tolls are regulated or periodically reset
  • Network value depends on matching supply/demand geography over time

Long Term Contracts

Demand

Strength

Durability

Confidence

Evidence

A material portion of liquids cash flow is supported by long-term, ship-or-pay style capacity commitments and/or regulated tolling structures, reducing near-term volume sensitivity.

Erosion risks

  • Contract roll-offs in weaker basins
  • Counterparty credit stress during commodity downturns
  • Regulatory/tolling resets reducing allowed returns

Leading indicators

  • Contracted capacity % and weighted average contract duration
  • Shipper credit rating mix and concentration
  • Tolling settlement outcomes and ROE allowances

Counterarguments

  • Some assets still face throughput risk where contracts are not fully take-or-pay
  • Long contracts mitigate cash-flow volatility but not long-run demand decline

Gas Transmission and Midstream

Natural gas transmission pipelines, gathering/processing and storage

Revenue_share and operating_profit_share are derived from FY2024 segmented operating revenues and segment EBITDA (annual report Note 5), excluding Eliminations and Other.

Oligopoly

Regulated Standards Pipe

Legal

Strength

Durability

Confidence

Evidence

Interstate natural gas transmission rates are regulated; cost-of-service frameworks and tariff structures create stability and raise barriers for new entrants (though they cap upside).

Erosion risks

  • FERC policy shifts impacting allowed ROE/cost recovery
  • Political and environmental opposition increasing permitting timelines
  • Technology/policy-driven demand changes (electrification, fuel switching)

Leading indicators

  • FERC rulings and ROE precedent changes
  • Contract renewals for major corridors
  • LNG export build-out and regional basis differentials

Counterarguments

  • Regulation limits true pricing power and can reset economics downward
  • Competing pipelines and alternative routes can still pressure utilization

Long Term Contracts

Demand

Strength

Durability

Confidence

Evidence

Capacity additions and key corridors are frequently secured with long-term take-or-pay style contracts (including LNG-related demand), reducing cash-flow volatility.

Erosion risks

  • Contract roll-offs if basin economics weaken
  • Counterparty credit deterioration
  • Regulatory delays increasing project costs

Leading indicators

  • New project sanctioning backed by firm contracts
  • Average remaining contract term
  • Shipper concentration and credit mix

Counterarguments

  • Take-or-pay protects near-term revenue but not long-run demand
  • New LNG/industrial projects can be delayed or cancelled

Permits Rights Of Way

Legal

Strength

Durability

Confidence

Evidence

Existing pipeline corridors, compression sites and storage fields are difficult to replicate due to land access, permits and multi-jurisdictional approvals.

Erosion risks

  • Permit/timeline risk for expansions
  • Community opposition increasing costs
  • Policy shifts limiting new gas infrastructure

Leading indicators

  • Time-to-permit for major projects
  • Expansion in-service slippage vs plan
  • Regulatory compliance incidents

Counterarguments

  • Brownfield expansions can be blocked even on existing corridors
  • Demand can shift away from gas over time in some regions

Gas Distribution and Storage

Regulated natural gas distribution utilities and associated storage in their service territories

Revenue_share and operating_profit_share are derived from FY2024 segmented operating revenues and segment EBITDA (annual report Note 5), excluding Eliminations and Other. Gas distribution revenues include pass-through natural gas costs.

Monopoly

Concession License

Legal

Strength

Durability

Confidence

Evidence

Local distribution utilities typically operate under regulated franchises within defined territories, creating local monopolies with obligation-to-serve and regulated returns.

Erosion risks

  • Accelerated electrification reducing long-run gas demand
  • Regulatory disallowances or lower allowed ROE
  • Policy bans/constraints on new gas hookups in some jurisdictions

Leading indicators

  • Customer count growth vs electrification trends
  • Rate case outcomes (allowed ROE, cost recovery)
  • Local/state/provincial decarbonization mandates

Counterarguments

  • Franchise protection can be weakened by policy-driven fuel switching
  • Volume risk exists if rate design doesn't fully decouple sales from earnings

Regulated Standards Pipe

Legal

Strength

Durability

Confidence

Evidence

Distribution rates are set by regulators via cost-of-service and multi-year incentive/price-cap frameworks; this supports predictable cash flows but caps upside.

Erosion risks

  • Adverse regulatory outcomes on ROE or cost trackers
  • Political pressure to constrain bills
  • Capital disallowance for certain programs

Leading indicators

  • Approved rate base growth and capex recovery
  • Earnings vs allowed ROE and any earnings sharing
  • Regulatory lag (timing of rate relief)

Counterarguments

  • Regulators can reset allowed returns downward in response to interest rate changes
  • Higher-cost decarbonization programs may face pushback

Physical Network Density

Supply

Strength

Durability

Confidence

Evidence

Dense distribution networks are capital-intensive and difficult to duplicate; scale matters for O&M efficiency and reliability programs.

Erosion risks

  • Aging infrastructure increasing replacement costs
  • Cyber/physical attacks on critical infrastructure
  • New safety standards increasing capex

Leading indicators

  • Pipeline replacement/integrity program pace
  • Leak/incident rate and safety metrics
  • O&M per customer and reliability metrics

Counterarguments

  • Network size does not prevent demand erosion from electrification
  • New customer growth can slow due to housing and permitting constraints

Renewable Power Generation

Renewable electricity generation (wind/solar/offshore wind) sold into regional power markets via PPAs

Revenue_share and operating_profit_share are derived from FY2024 segmented operating revenues and segment EBITDA (annual report Note 5), excluding Eliminations and Other. Segment economics can swing with weather/resource variability.

Competitive

Long Term Contracts

Demand

Strength

Durability

Confidence

Evidence

The renewables portfolio is primarily contracted under long-term fixed-price PPAs, reducing merchant power price exposure and stabilizing cash flows.

Erosion risks

  • PPA repricing risk at contract expiry
  • Technology cost deflation compressing new-build returns
  • Policy/market design changes reducing renewable support

Leading indicators

  • Weighted average remaining PPA life
  • Capacity factor vs resource forecasts
  • Pipeline of permitted/contracted projects

Counterarguments

  • PPA auctions are competitive; incumbent advantage is limited
  • Returns can be diluted if build costs rise faster than PPA pricing

Capex Knowhow Scale

Supply

Strength

Durability

Confidence

Evidence

Scale, project-execution experience and access to capital can help win and deliver large renewable and offshore wind projects, though advantages are not unique versus large global developers.

Erosion risks

  • Supply chain constraints and construction inflation
  • Permitting delays (especially offshore wind)
  • Rising rates increasing project hurdle costs

Leading indicators

  • Project delivery vs budget and schedule
  • Financing spreads and partnership structures
  • Awarded capacity and contracted backlog

Counterarguments

  • Many competitors have comparable scale and access to capital
  • Rapid technology shifts can compress any execution advantage

Evidence

sec_filing
Enbridge 2024 Annual Report

operated under easements and rights-of-way

Shows the system operates via third-party easements/rights-of-way (a major barrier and renewal risk).

other
Enbridge Quick Facts

Company describes an ~18k-mile crude/liquids system and multi-million bpd delivery volumes, supporting scale and corridor density.

news
Enbridge approves C$1.4B project to boost Canadian oil flows to U.S. refiners (Reuters)

supported by long-term take-or-pay contracts

Supports the claim that expansion economics rely on long-duration shipper commitments.

sec_filing
Enbridge 2024 Annual Report

Describes take-or-pay contracting and regulated/cost-of-service tolling as core revenue mechanisms across transportation assets.

other
Enbridge Quick Facts

We move about 30% of the crude oil produced in North America

Direct company-stated share metric.

Showing 5 of 8 sources.

Risks & Indicators

Erosion risks

  • Adverse court or regulatory outcomes affecting key rights-of-way
  • Political opposition delaying renewals/expansions
  • High-profile incidents increasing regulatory scrutiny
  • Route-specific demand shifts (basin declines or refinery reconfigurations)
  • Regulatory constraints limiting expansions
  • Competition from rail/truck in niche markets

Leading indicators

  • Major permit/court milestones for corridor-critical assets
  • Mainline utilization and apportionment rates
  • Integrity spending and incident rate trend
  • Throughput vs nameplate capacity by key system
  • Capital project backlog and in-service dates
  • Utilization changes after competing capacity additions
Created 2025-12-31
Updated 2025-12-31

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