VOL. XCIV, NO. 247

★ WIDE MOAT STOCKS & COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGES ★

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Thursday, January 8, 2026

Graco Inc.

GGG · New York Stock Exchange

Market cap (USD)$13.8B
SectorIndustrials
IndustryIndustrial - Machinery
CountryUS
Data as of
Moat score
67/ 100

Weighted average of segment moat scores, combining moat strength, durability, confidence, market structure, pricing power, and market share.

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Overview

Graco Inc. is a global industrial manufacturer focused on fluid and coatings management equipment. Its moat is built on product reliability/quality and customer support, reinforced by specialized third-party distribution and service capabilities. Industrial applications benefit from integration and OEM design-in dynamics, while the Contractor segment leans more on brand trust and channel reach. A newer Expansion Markets segment aggregates niche verticals (including environmental and semiconductor-related businesses) with a strategy centered on leveraging core technologies into adjacent markets, balanced by the risk that specialists and multi-sourcing can limit durability.

Primary segment

Contractor

Market structure

Oligopoly

Market share

HHI:

Coverage

3 segments · 8 tags

Updated 2026-01-05

Segments

Contractor

Professional and prosumer paint/coatings application equipment (airless sprayers, texture sprayers, line stripers, plural-component proportioners)

Revenue

49.4%

Structure

Oligopoly

Pricing

moderate

Share

Peers

ITWMASRPMSHW

Industrial

Industrial finishing and advanced fluid dispensing systems (liquid/powder coatings, sealants, adhesives, composites) for manufacturing plants

Revenue

43.1%

Structure

Oligopoly

Pricing

moderate

Share

Peers

DOVIEXITWNDSN

Expansion Markets

Niche fluid-handling, environmental, semiconductor, high-pressure, and adjacent-market equipment platforms (portfolio segment)

Revenue

7.5%

Structure

Competitive

Pricing

weak

Share

Peers

AMATFLSIEXLRCX

Moat Claims

Contractor

Professional and prosumer paint/coatings application equipment (airless sprayers, texture sprayers, line stripers, plural-component proportioners)

Revenue/operating-profit shares are based on six months ended 2025-06-27 segment net sales ($543.991M) and segment operating earnings ($137.419M) reported in Graco's Form 10-Q filed 2025-07-23.

Oligopoly

Brand Trust

Demand

Strength

Durability

Confidence

Evidence

Contractors buy on reliability and jobsite uptime; reputation for quality/service supports premium positioning and repeat purchases.

Erosion risks

  • Low-cost imports and private-label competition
  • Perceived innovation slowdown vs rivals
  • Quality issues causing reputation damage

Leading indicators

  • Segment gross margin trend (price vs cost)
  • Sell-through at channel partners (order rates)
  • Warranty/return rates and service KPIs

Counterarguments

  • For many jobs, competitors' sprayers are good enough, limiting premium pricing.
  • Contractors can multi-home tools; switching costs can be modest.

Distribution Control

Supply

Strength

Durability

Confidence

Evidence

A large third-party distribution footprint (including paint-focused outlets and home-center channels) increases availability, demo/service capability, and local sell-through.

Erosion risks

  • Channel consolidation increasing distributor bargaining power
  • Direct-to-consumer and online channels reducing distributor value
  • Competitors expanding dealer coverage and service

Leading indicators

  • Distributor coverage growth in emerging markets
  • Channel inventory levels and turns
  • Dealer service capability expansion

Counterarguments

  • Distribution is not exclusive; competitors can access similar channels.
  • Large retailers can shift shelf space based on price/promotions.

Operational Excellence

Supply

Strength

Durability

Confidence

Evidence

In-house machining/assembly/testing and co-located manufacturing + product development supports quality control, cycle times, and continuous improvement.

Erosion risks

  • Labor and input cost inflation
  • Manufacturing footprint disruptions (tariffs, geopolitics)
  • Competitors closing the gap through automation

Leading indicators

  • On-time delivery and lead times
  • Scrap/rework rates
  • Operating margin resilience through cycles

Counterarguments

  • Operational excellence is replicable with time and investment.
  • Cost-focused competitors may undercut pricing despite quality advantages.

Industrial

Industrial finishing and advanced fluid dispensing systems (liquid/powder coatings, sealants, adhesives, composites) for manufacturing plants

Revenue/operating-profit shares are based on six months ended 2025-06-27 segment net sales ($473.930M) and segment operating earnings ($161.967M) reported in Graco's Form 10-Q filed 2025-07-23.

Oligopoly

Service Field Network

Supply

Strength

Durability

Confidence

Evidence

A specialized distributor/integrator ecosystem provides application expertise, on-site service, and integration capabilities, raising customer preference and reducing downtime risk.

Erosion risks

  • Integrators shifting allegiance to alternative OEMs
  • Customers building more in-house engineering capability
  • Remote diagnostics reducing the advantage of local service

Leading indicators

  • Share of sales via integrators/design centers
  • Service response times and uptime metrics
  • Repeat wins on plant expansions and line upgrades

Counterarguments

  • Large manufacturers can demand multi-vendor solutions, weakening any single vendor's service moat.
  • Integrator ecosystems can be built by rivals through incentives and training.

Design In Qualification

Demand

Strength

Durability

Confidence

Evidence

Once specified into an OEM system or qualified within a plant line, replacement can require re-engineering, retesting, and downtime, supporting repeat business and upgrades.

Erosion risks

  • Standardization on open interfaces enabling easier component swaps
  • OEMs dual-sourcing to reduce dependency
  • Competitor technology leapfrogs (transfer efficiency, automation)

Leading indicators

  • Retention/attach rates on line upgrades and retrofits
  • Win rates on OEM platform bids
  • Installed base expansion in targeted verticals

Counterarguments

  • Large accounts can force competitive bids each project cycle.
  • If switching costs are high, customers may invest upfront to qualify alternatives.

Installed Base Consumables

Demand

Strength

Durability

Confidence

Evidence

Installed equipment creates recurring demand for wear parts and accessories, supporting aftermarket revenue and customer touchpoints.

Erosion risks

  • Third-party compatible parts and counterfeits
  • Price pressure on spares through procurement initiatives
  • Design changes reducing replacement frequency

Leading indicators

  • Aftermarket/spares mix (if disclosed) and gross margin trend
  • Counterfeit enforcement actions
  • Parts availability and lead times

Counterarguments

  • Aftermarket sales may be limited if customers standardize on generic consumables.
  • Counterfeits and compatible parts can erode attachment and margins.

Expansion Markets

Niche fluid-handling, environmental, semiconductor, high-pressure, and adjacent-market equipment platforms (portfolio segment)

Revenue/operating-profit shares are based on six months ended 2025-06-27 segment net sales ($82.169M) and segment operating earnings ($18.894M) reported in Graco's Form 10-Q filed 2025-07-23.

Competitive

Scope Economies

Supply

Strength

Durability

Confidence

Evidence

Graco's core fluid/coatings engineering and commercialization can be reused across adjacent niches, supporting expansion via product leverage and M&A.

Erosion risks

  • Overpaying for acquisitions or integration missteps
  • Adjacent markets requiring distinct channels and specs
  • Portfolio dilution reducing focus and execution

Leading indicators

  • Growth and margin trajectory of Expansion Markets
  • M&A discipline (deal ROIC vs hurdle)
  • Cross-selling wins into new end-user markets

Counterarguments

  • Adjacent niches may not share enough commonality to realize real scope economies.
  • Specialist incumbents can out-execute in narrower markets.

Design In Qualification

Demand

Strength

Durability

Confidence

Evidence

In niches like semiconductor and high-pressure applications, qualification cycles and direct customer relationships can create switching friction, but durability varies by sub-vertical.

Erosion risks

  • Customers dual-source to reduce dependency
  • Spec changes resetting qualification advantages
  • Cyclical capex cycles (e.g., semiconductor)

Leading indicators

  • Design-win announcements and OEM platform relationships
  • Repeat orders from qualified accounts
  • Share of sales sold direct vs channel (if disclosed)

Counterarguments

  • Even qualified suppliers can be replaced if cost or performance gaps emerge.
  • Large OEMs can force multi-sourcing and periodic re-bids.

Operational Excellence

Supply

Strength

Durability

Confidence

Evidence

Competing in difficult-to-handle materials and precision applications benefits from accumulated application engineering and manufacturing discipline.

Erosion risks

  • Specialist competitors out-innovating in niche verticals
  • Talent constraints in engineering and field application support
  • Supply chain shocks affecting specialized components

Leading indicators

  • R&D intensity and new product cadence
  • Segment operating margin stability
  • Customer defect/quality metrics

Counterarguments

  • Specialized engineering advantages can be competed away by focused niche players.
  • If volumes are small, scale benefits may be limited.

Evidence

sec_filing
Graco Inc. Form 10-K (FY ended Dec 27, 2024) - Company strengths and competition factors

"premium customer experience" and "high-quality and reliable products"

Management explicitly ties premium customer experience and reliability/quality to core capabilities, consistent with a brand/reputation moat.

sec_filing
Graco Inc. Form 10-K (FY ended Dec 27, 2024) - Competition

"product quality, product reliability... customer support and service"

Company frames competition in terms that map directly to reputation/brand and service differentiation.

sec_filing
Graco Inc. Form 10-K (FY ended Dec 27, 2024) - Manufacturing and Distribution

"primarily sell... through third-party distributors worldwide... and through selected retailers"

Confirms distributor- and retail-led go-to-market as the primary route to end users.

sec_filing
Graco Inc. Form 10-K (FY ended Dec 27, 2024) - Contractor segment distribution

"distributed primarily through... outlets... [for] paint and other coatings"

Suggests a specialized channel aligned to the Contractor end market, supporting coverage and merchandising.

sec_filing
Graco Inc. Form 10-K (FY ended Dec 27, 2024) - Manufacturing and Distribution

"perform critical machining, assembly and testing in-house... control quality"

Supports an execution moat through quality/process control rather than outsourced assembly.

Showing 5 of 13 sources.

Risks & Indicators

Erosion risks

  • Low-cost imports and private-label competition
  • Perceived innovation slowdown vs rivals
  • Quality issues causing reputation damage
  • Channel consolidation increasing distributor bargaining power
  • Direct-to-consumer and online channels reducing distributor value
  • Competitors expanding dealer coverage and service

Leading indicators

  • Segment gross margin trend (price vs cost)
  • Sell-through at channel partners (order rates)
  • Warranty/return rates and service KPIs
  • Distributor coverage growth in emerging markets
  • Channel inventory levels and turns
  • Dealer service capability expansion
Created 2026-01-05
Updated 2026-01-05

Curation & Accuracy

This directory blends AI‑assisted discovery with human curation. Entries are reviewed, edited, and organized with the goal of expanding coverage and sharpening quality over time. Your feedback helps steer improvements (because no single human can capture everything all at once).

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