VOL. XCIV, NO. 247

★ MOAT STOCKS & COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGES ★

PRICE: 5 CENTS

Thursday, December 25, 2025

Kenvue Inc.

KVUE · New York Stock Exchange

active
Market cap (USD)$33B
SectorConsumer
CountryUS
Data as of
Moat score
66/ 100

Weighted average of segment moat scores, combining moat strength, durability, confidence, market structure, pricing power, and market share.

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Overview

Kenvue is a global consumer health company operating three reported segments: Self Care (OTC medicines), Skin Health & Beauty (skin/hair care), and Essential Health (oral, baby, and other personal care). The moat is primarily demand-side -- long-standing, trusted brands supported by science/clinical work and healthcare-professional recommendation -- driving repeat purchase and shelf presence. Kenvue also benefits from scale in manufacturing, marketing, and distribution, plus quality/compliance systems that matter for regulated OTC categories. The key counterweight is intense competition (including private label and large CPG peers), with faster trend cycles and more fragmented competition in Skin Health & Beauty. In November 2025, Kenvue and Kimberly-Clark announced a merger agreement expected to close in the second half of 2026, subject to approvals. (Merger announcement: https://investors.kenvue.com/financial-news/news-details/2025/Kimberly-Clark-to-Acquire-Kenvue-Creating-a-32-Billion-Global-Health-and-Wellness-Leader/default.aspx)

Primary segment

Self Care

Market structure

Oligopoly

Market share

HHI:

Coverage

3 segments · 5 tags

Updated 2025-12-25

Segments

Self Care

OTC self-care consumer health products (pain care, cough/cold/allergy, digestive health, smoking cessation, eye care)

Revenue

42.3%

Structure

Oligopoly

Pricing

moderate

Share

Peers

HLNPGRBGLY

Skin Health and Beauty

Mass-market skin and hair care (dermatology-led personal care) consumer health products

Revenue

27.4%

Structure

Competitive

Pricing

weak

Share

Peers

BDRFYELLRLCYPG+1

Essential Health

Everyday personal care essentials (oral care, baby care, wound care, women's health)

Revenue

30.3%

Structure

Competitive

Pricing

moderate

Share

Peers

CHDCLKMBPG+1

Moat Claims

Self Care

OTC self-care consumer health products (pain care, cough/cold/allergy, digestive health, smoking cessation, eye care)

Reported segment includes Pain Care; Cough, Cold, and Allergy; and Other Self Care (Digestive Health, Smoking Cessation, Eye Care). Revenue/operating-profit shares derived from FY2024 segment net sales and segment adjusted operating income in the FY2024 10-K. Source: https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1944048/000194404825000033/kvue-20241229.htm

Oligopoly

Brand Trust

Demand

Strength: 5/5 · Durability: durable · Confidence: 4/5 · 2 evidence

Heritage OTC brands (e.g., Tylenol, Motrin, Zyrtec) reinforced by science/healthcare-professional endorsement support consumer trust and repeat purchase.

Erosion risks

  • Generic OTC and private-label substitution
  • Brand damage from safety/quality incidents or negative publicity
  • Regulatory changes impacting OTC labeling/claims

Leading indicators

  • Category share trends in Pain Care and Allergy Care
  • Brand consideration/NPS and repeat-purchase metrics
  • Price gaps vs private label and elasticity in promo periods

Counterarguments

  • OTC consumers can switch quickly when price promotions favor rivals or store brands
  • Large competitors also have trusted brands and can match marketing spend

Scale Economies Unit Cost

Supply

Strength: 4/5 · Durability: medium · Confidence: 4/5 · 2 evidence

Scale manufacturing and global supply agreements support unit-cost leverage and availability for high-volume OTC categories.

Erosion risks

  • Commodity/input cost inflation outpacing price realization
  • Supply chain disruptions or single-source inputs for some products
  • Competitors achieving similar scale efficiencies

Leading indicators

  • Gross margin and cost-of-goods inflation vs pricing
  • Service levels (fill rates) and out-of-stock frequency
  • Savings delivered from supply chain optimization programs

Counterarguments

  • Scale advantages can be competed away because multiple global CPG peers also operate at large scale
  • Retailers can pressure prices, limiting the ability to retain cost savings

Compliance Advantage

Legal

Strength: 3/5 · Durability: medium · Confidence: 4/5 · 2 evidence

Quality systems and regulatory inspection readiness create friction for smaller entrants in regulated OTC categories; failures can destroy trust quickly.

Erosion risks

  • Warning letters/recalls that undermine brand trust
  • Regulatory changes that raise costs for all incumbents equally
  • Quality issues at third-party manufacturing or logistics partners

Leading indicators

  • Recall rate and severity; FDA inspection outcomes
  • Product complaint trends and batch deviation metrics
  • Audit findings for critical suppliers and CMOs

Counterarguments

  • Large global peers generally have comparable regulatory/compliance capabilities
  • Compliance is table-stakes rather than a unique differentiator

Skin Health and Beauty

Mass-market skin and hair care (dermatology-led personal care) consumer health products

Reported segment includes Face and Body Care; and Hair, Sun, and Other. Revenue/operating-profit shares derived from FY2024 segment net sales and segment adjusted operating income in the FY2024 10-K. Source: https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1944048/000194404825000033/kvue-20241229.htm

Competitive

Brand Trust

Demand

Strength: 4/5 · Durability: medium · Confidence: 4/5 · 1 evidence

Brands positioned around dermatological/science-backed efficacy (e.g., Neutrogena, Aveeno) support willingness to pay vs unbranded alternatives.

Erosion risks

  • Fast-changing beauty trends and influencer-driven niche brands
  • Private label expansion and retailer shelf-space pressure
  • Execution challenges (in-stock, merchandising) eroding brand momentum

Leading indicators

  • Category growth vs Kenvue volume trend and shelf share
  • Digital share of voice and review sentiment for key brands
  • Promo intensity and net price realization vs competitors

Counterarguments

  • Beauty/personal care is fragmented and brand loyalty can be weaker than in OTC medicines
  • Premium brands and DTC challengers can out-innovate incumbents

Scope Economies

Supply

Strength: 4/5 · Durability: medium · Confidence: 4/5 · 2 evidence

Shared marketing, analytics, and R&D capabilities across a broad brand portfolio can lower per-brand overhead and accelerate launches.

Erosion risks

  • Centralization reduces local market responsiveness
  • Marketing efficiency declines as channels fragment
  • R&D productivity fails to translate into winning launches

Leading indicators

  • Advertising efficiency (ROAS) and brand support spend productivity
  • New product launch success rate and time-to-market
  • Overhead as a percent of sales over time

Counterarguments

  • Scale can be outweighed by agility of smaller, trend-driven brands
  • Big CPG peers also have similar shared-services advantages

Distribution Control

Supply

Strength: 3/5 · Durability: medium · Confidence: 3/5 · 1 evidence

Large retail relationships and an extensive distribution footprint help maintain shelf presence and service levels across channels.

Erosion risks

  • Retail trade concentration increases bargaining power vs brands
  • Shift to DTC/e-commerce reduces advantage of physical distribution
  • Third-party logistics disruptions

Leading indicators

  • Top-10 customer concentration and terms (trade spend as % of sales)
  • E-commerce mix and fulfillment performance
  • On-shelf availability and retailer scorecards

Counterarguments

  • Shelf space is contested and can be bought via promotions/trade spend
  • Retailers can prioritize their own private label regardless of relationship

Essential Health

Everyday personal care essentials (oral care, baby care, wound care, women's health)

Reported segment includes Oral Care; Baby Care; and Other Essential Health (Women's Health, Wound Care, and Other). Revenue/operating-profit shares derived from FY2024 segment net sales and segment adjusted operating income in the FY2024 10-K. Source: https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1944048/000194404825000033/kvue-20241229.htm

Competitive

Habit Default

Demand

Strength: 4/5 · Durability: medium · Confidence: 3/5 · 1 evidence

Many products are embedded in daily routines (oral care, baby care, menstrual care), supporting repeat purchase and reducing active re-evaluation each trip.

Erosion risks

  • Private label capturing repeat purchase through price advantage
  • Switching due to promotions or retailer loyalty programs
  • Brand dilution from line extensions that confuse positioning

Leading indicators

  • Repeat-purchase rate and household penetration for core brands
  • Price/promo elasticity and private-label share in key categories
  • Subscription and auto-replenishment adoption (where applicable)

Counterarguments

  • Habit can be broken when consumers trade down in inflationary periods
  • Retailers can reset planograms and promote substitutes quickly

Brand Trust

Demand

Strength: 4/5 · Durability: medium · Confidence: 4/5 · 1 evidence

Household brands (e.g., Listerine, Johnson's, Band-Aid) carry perceived reliability in family and personal care categories.

Erosion risks

  • Negative publicity affecting brand reputation
  • Product quality issues causing long-lasting trust loss
  • Category commoditization

Leading indicators

  • Brand sentiment/review scores in oral and baby care
  • Recall/complaint rates for family-care products
  • Net revenue retention via repeat purchase/penetration

Counterarguments

  • Trust is not exclusive -- competitors also own strong family-care brands
  • In commoditized subcategories, trust has limited pricing impact

Distribution Control

Supply

Strength: 3/5 · Durability: medium · Confidence: 3/5 · 1 evidence

Wide distribution and retailer partnerships support shelf presence across oral care, baby, and wound care categories.

Erosion risks

  • Customer concentration and bargaining power (retail trade concentration)
  • Retailer push toward own-brand alternatives
  • Logistics disruptions impacting on-shelf availability

Leading indicators

  • Top-10 customer share of sales and changes in trade terms
  • On-time-in-full delivery and on-shelf availability metrics
  • Channel mix shift toward e-commerce/DTC

Counterarguments

  • Distribution scale is shared by most major CPG peers
  • Retailers can allocate shelf space based on economics, not history

Evidence

sec_filing
Kenvue Inc. FY2024 Form 10-K (fiscal year ended Dec 29, 2024)

Built on more than a century of heritage and trusted by generations

Supports durability of brand equity in consumer health categories.

sec_filing
Kenvue Inc. FY2024 Form 10-K (fiscal year ended Dec 29, 2024)

backed by science and recommended by healthcare professionals

Links brand positioning to credibility and reinforcement via healthcare professionals.

sec_filing
Kenvue Inc. FY2024 Form 10-K (Supply Chain and Manufacturing)

benefit from economies of scale and global supply chain agreements

Explicitly claims scale benefits and global procurement leverage.

sec_filing
Kenvue Inc. FY2024 Form 10-K (Manufacturing Footprint)

in-house manufacturing footprint delivered over 60% of our sales volume

Indicates meaningful internal capacity (with external partners) that can support service levels and cost optimization.

sec_filing
Kenvue Inc. FY2024 Form 10-K (Quality Control and Compliance)

conduct regular quality audits of our supplier base and their facilities

Shows formalized supplier quality controls that are harder to replicate at small scale.

Showing 5 of 12 sources.

Risks & Indicators

Erosion risks

  • Generic OTC and private-label substitution
  • Brand damage from safety/quality incidents or negative publicity
  • Regulatory changes impacting OTC labeling/claims
  • Commodity/input cost inflation outpacing price realization
  • Supply chain disruptions or single-source inputs for some products
  • Competitors achieving similar scale efficiencies

Leading indicators

  • Category share trends in Pain Care and Allergy Care
  • Brand consideration/NPS and repeat-purchase metrics
  • Price gaps vs private label and elasticity in promo periods
  • Gross margin and cost-of-goods inflation vs pricing
  • Service levels (fill rates) and out-of-stock frequency
  • Savings delivered from supply chain optimization programs
Created 2025-12-25
Updated 2025-12-25

Curation & Accuracy

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