VOL. XCIV, NO. 247

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Wednesday, January 7, 2026

Uber Technologies, Inc.

UBER · New York Stock Exchange

Market cap (USD)$167.8B
SectorIndustrials
IndustrySoftware - Application
CountryUS
Data as of
Moat score
66/ 100

Weighted average of segment moat scores, combining moat strength, durability, confidence, market structure, pricing power, and market share.

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Overview

Uber operates a multi-product marketplace with three reportable segments: Mobility, Delivery, and Freight. The core moat is marketplace liquidity (two-sided network effects) that can improve reliability and utilization in dense markets, supported by data-driven matching/dispatch and a widely recognized consumer brand. Cross-product bundling (notably via Uber One) can raise frequency and retention across Mobility and Delivery. The main counter-pressures are structurally low switching costs and multi-homing, ongoing subsidy competition, and regulation (driver classification, safety, payments and local operating rules).

Primary segment

Mobility

Market structure

Oligopoly

Market share

74%-78% (reported)

HHI: 6,352

Coverage

3 segments · 7 tags

Updated 2026-01-05

Segments

Mobility

Ride-hailing / on-demand mobility marketplaces

Revenue

57%

Structure

Oligopoly

Pricing

moderate

Share

74%-78% (reported)

Peers

LYFTGRABDIDIY

Delivery

On-demand food, grocery, and retail delivery marketplaces

Revenue

31.3%

Structure

Oligopoly

Pricing

weak

Share

23%-25% (reported)

Peers

DASHCARTAMZN3690.HK

Freight

Digital freight brokerage and transportation management (managed transportation/logistics network)

Revenue

11.7%

Structure

Competitive

Pricing

weak

Share

Peers

CHRWRXOXPOJBHT

Moat Claims

Mobility

Ride-hailing / on-demand mobility marketplaces

Revenue share computed from Uber FY2024 segment revenue disclosure: Mobility $25.087B of total revenue $43.978B.

Oligopoly

Two Sided Network

Network

Strength

Durability

Confidence

Evidence

Marketplace liquidity: more riders attract more drivers (and vice versa), improving match rates and reliability and reinforcing usage in dense markets.

Erosion risks

  • Low switching costs and multi-homing for riders and drivers
  • Competitor subsidy wars (driver incentives and rider promos)
  • Regulatory constraints (driver classification, local operating rules)

Leading indicators

  • Trips and MAPCs growth
  • Driver supply constraint signals (wait times, cancellations)
  • Incentive intensity as % of bookings/revenue

Counterarguments

  • Riders can switch apps quickly and are price/quality sensitive
  • Drivers can multi-home and shift to the highest-earning platform

Data Network Effects

Network

Strength

Durability

Confidence

Evidence

Large-scale trip data supports continuous improvement in demand prediction, matching/dispatch, and pricing, which can improve reliability and unit economics in dense markets.

Erosion risks

  • Model/algorithm commoditization and open-source parity
  • Data-privacy regulation limiting collection/processing
  • Competing networks achieving comparable scale in key cities

Leading indicators

  • ETA accuracy and cancellation rate trend
  • Fraud and safety incident rates (trust-related friction)
  • Unit economics per trip in top cities

Counterarguments

  • Competitors can access similar mapping/ML tooling and generate large datasets in their own geographies
  • If multi-homing remains common, data advantages may not translate into durable pricing power

Brand Trust

Demand

Strength

Durability

Confidence

Evidence

Brand awareness plus perceived safety/trust can reduce customer acquisition friction and support default choice behavior, but reputation risk is also material.

Erosion risks

  • Safety incidents or data/privacy breaches
  • Sustained negative media coverage or social campaigns
  • Regulatory actions that reduce perceived trust

Leading indicators

  • App store ratings / NPS trend
  • Reported safety incident rate trend (and transparency reporting)
  • Brand-search share vs key competitors

Counterarguments

  • Many rides are chosen by price and availability rather than brand
  • Local players can be trusted substitutes in specific geographies

Delivery

On-demand food, grocery, and retail delivery marketplaces

Revenue share computed from Uber FY2024 segment revenue disclosure: Delivery $13.750B of total revenue $43.978B.

Oligopoly

Two Sided Network

Network

Strength

Durability

Confidence

Evidence

Marketplace liquidity between consumers, merchants, and couriers: more merchants and better courier coverage improve selection and delivery times, attracting more consumer demand (and vice versa).

Erosion risks

  • Low switching costs and multi-homing for consumers and merchants
  • Local regulation/fee caps and labor classification changes
  • Merchant disintermediation (own delivery / direct ordering)

Leading indicators

  • Merchant count and selection quality (top merchants availability)
  • Courier supply metrics (batching efficiency, delivery times)
  • Order frequency and retention (cohort repeat rates)

Counterarguments

  • Consumers frequently multi-home (DoorDash/Uber/others) and switch based on promos and ETA
  • Merchants can negotiate fees and list across multiple platforms

Suite Bundling

Demand

Strength

Durability

Confidence

Evidence

Cross-product membership and app-level bundling (Mobility + Delivery) increases frequency and retention, improving unit economics and providing a defensible demand funnel for Delivery.

Erosion risks

  • Membership value dilution if discounts/promo economics worsen
  • Competitor subscription bundles (e.g., DashPass and retailer memberships)
  • Regulatory changes to pricing/fees reducing bundle benefit

Leading indicators

  • Membership count and paid penetration
  • Trips/orders per member vs non-member
  • Churn and promo intensity needed to retain members

Counterarguments

  • Subscriptions are easy to cancel and customers can hold multiple memberships
  • If platforms converge on similar pricing and selection, bundling becomes less differentiating

Data Network Effects

Network

Strength

Durability

Confidence

Evidence

Order and consumer behavior data supports marketplace optimization and merchant advertising products, reinforcing merchant ROI and monetization.

Erosion risks

  • Ad monetization limited by privacy regulation and platform rules
  • Merchant spend shifts to other channels with better ROI
  • Competitive parity in retail media networks

Leading indicators

  • Advertising revenue growth within Delivery
  • Merchant retention and spend per merchant
  • Consumer conversion and reorder rates

Counterarguments

  • Retail media is crowded and can become commoditized
  • Merchants can diversify ad budgets away from delivery platforms

Freight

Digital freight brokerage and transportation management (managed transportation/logistics network)

Revenue share computed from Uber FY2024 segment revenue disclosure: Freight $5.141B of total revenue $43.978B.

Competitive

Two Sided Network

Network

Strength

Durability

Confidence

Evidence

Brokerage liquidity between shippers and carriers can improve load matching and capacity access, but the market is highly competitive and price-driven.

Erosion risks

  • Freight cycle downswings compressing pricing and volumes
  • Incumbent brokers with entrenched relationships
  • Low switching costs for shippers and carriers

Leading indicators

  • Revenue per load and load volume trend
  • Carrier utilization and tender acceptance rates
  • Gross margin / contribution margin sensitivity to cycle

Counterarguments

  • Freight brokerage is relationship- and price-driven with many substitutes
  • Scale advantages can be competed away by other large brokers and digital entrants

Evidence

sec_filing
Uber Technologies, Inc. Form 10-K (FY ended 2024-12-31) - Risk Factors (network scale and liquidity)

Uber states success in a market depends on developing network scale and liquidity by attracting drivers and consumers; insufficient supply reduces platform appeal.

sec_filing
Uber Technologies, Inc. Form 10-K (FY ended 2024-12-31) - Business (marketplace, routing, payments technologies)

Uber describes proprietary marketplace technologies including demand prediction, matching/dispatch and pricing, and a network that improves with usage.

sec_filing
Uber Technologies, Inc. Form 10-K (FY ended 2024-12-31) - Risk Factors (brand and reputation)

Uber explicitly states maintaining/enhancing brand and reputation is critical and that negative publicity can reduce usage and attract regulatory scrutiny.

dataset
Bloomberg Second Measure - Rideshare industry overview (U.S. observed spending share)

Second Measure reports Uber at 76% of observed U.S. rideshare spending in March 2024 (Lyft 24%).

sec_filing
Uber Technologies, Inc. Form 10-K (FY ended 2024-12-31) - Risk Factors (merchant and courier availability affects appeal)

Uber notes that if merchants partner with competitors or engage exclusively elsewhere, the delivery offering can become less appealing due to less variety/access to popular merchants.

Showing 5 of 9 sources.

Risks & Indicators

Erosion risks

  • Low switching costs and multi-homing for riders and drivers
  • Competitor subsidy wars (driver incentives and rider promos)
  • Regulatory constraints (driver classification, local operating rules)
  • Autonomous vehicles / robotaxis changing the supply side
  • Model/algorithm commoditization and open-source parity
  • Data-privacy regulation limiting collection/processing

Leading indicators

  • Trips and MAPCs growth
  • Driver supply constraint signals (wait times, cancellations)
  • Incentive intensity as % of bookings/revenue
  • Take rate / revenue margin stability
  • ETA accuracy and cancellation rate trend
  • Fraud and safety incident rates (trust-related friction)
Created 2026-01-05
Updated 2026-01-05

Curation & Accuracy

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