VOL. XCIV, NO. 247

★ WIDE MOAT STOCKS & COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGES ★

PRICE: 0 CENTS

Sunday, December 28, 2025

S.F. Holding Co., Ltd.

002352 · Shenzhen Stock Exchange

Market cap (USD)$27.4B
SectorIndustrials
CountryCN
Data as of
Moat score
75/ 100

Weighted average of segment moat scores, combining moat strength, durability, confidence, market structure, pricing power, and market share.

Request update

Spot something outdated? Send a quick note and source so we can refresh this profile.

Overview

S.F. Holding is a China-based integrated logistics provider with major businesses in premium time-definite express, economy express, LTL freight, cold chain & pharmaceutical logistics, intra-city on-demand delivery, and supply chain & international logistics. The core moat is strongest in premium time-definite express, supported by a directly operated end-to-end network and differentiated air-cargo infrastructure (including a dedicated air cargo hub). In other segments, scale and network density help, but pricing and share are more exposed to competition and platform-driven volume shifts.

Primary segment

Time-definite Express

Market structure

Quasi-Monopoly

Market share

64.1% (reported)

HHI:

Coverage

7 segments · 6 tags

Updated 2025-12-28

Segments

Time-definite Express

Premium time-definite parcel express delivery services

Revenue

43%

Structure

Quasi-Monopoly

Pricing

strong

Share

64.1% (reported)

Peers

2618.HKZTO600233.SS002468.SZ+1

Economy Express

Economy parcel express delivery services (mid- to high-end)

Revenue

10%

Structure

Oligopoly

Pricing

moderate

Share

51.2% (reported)

Peers

ZTO600233.SS002468.SZ002120.SZ+1

LTL Freight

Less-than-truckload (LTL) freight services

Revenue

13%

Structure

Competitive

Pricing

weak

Share

1.9% (reported)

Peers

603056.SS2618.HK002468.SZ600233.SS

Cold Chain & Pharmaceutical

Temperature-controlled and pharmaceutical logistics

Revenue

3%

Structure

Competitive

Pricing

moderate

Share

2.1% (reported)

Peers

2618.HK0598.HKFDXUPS

Intra-city On-demand

Third-party intra-city on-demand (instant) delivery services

Revenue

3%

Structure

Oligopoly

Pricing

weak

Share

14.6% (reported)

Peers

3690.HKDADA9988.HK9699.HK

Supply Chain & International

End-to-end supply chain solutions and international logistics (express, freight forwarding, cross-border e-commerce logistics)

Revenue

25%

Structure

Competitive

Pricing

moderate

Share

3.4% (reported)

Peers

0598.HK2618.HKFDXUPS+1

Other (Non-logistics & Undistributed Units)

Non-logistics ancillary services and undistributed corporate units

Revenue

3%

Structure

Competitive

Pricing

none

Share

Peers

Moat Claims

Time-definite Express

Premium time-definite parcel express delivery services

Quasi-Monopoly

Physical Network Density

Supply

Strength: 5/5 · Durability: durable · Confidence: 4/5 · 2 evidence

Dedicated air hub + dense line-haul/last-mile network enable next-morning coverage and high reliability; hard to replicate at similar cost and service levels.

Erosion risks

  • Competitors expand air capacity and hubs
  • Regulatory constraints on aviation operations
  • Premium-to-economy mix-down in weak demand

Leading indicators

  • Time-definite express market share (revenue)
  • On-time delivery rate
  • Air network utilization

Counterarguments

  • High fixed-cost network can become a burden if volumes soften
  • Large competitors (e.g., JD Logistics, EMS) can match service on key lanes

Brand Trust

Demand

Strength: 4/5 · Durability: durable · Confidence: 4/5 · 1 evidence

Premium brand associated with reliability; strong enterprise penetration supports repeat usage and contract stickiness.

Erosion risks

  • Service incidents damage reputation
  • Corporate procurement shifts to multi-sourcing

Leading indicators

  • Net promoter score / complaint rate
  • Enterprise customer count and retention

Counterarguments

  • For many shippers, price and SLA matter more than brand
  • Platforms can steer volume regardless of end-customer perception

Economy Express

Economy parcel express delivery services (mid- to high-end)

Oligopoly

Scale Economies Unit Cost

Supply

Strength: 4/5 · Durability: medium · Confidence: 3/5 · 1 evidence

Scale and network synergies help spread fixed sorting/line-haul costs, which is critical in price-sensitive economy products.

Erosion risks

  • Industry price wars
  • Lower barriers for regional players in specific corridors

Leading indicators

  • Economy express unit cost trend
  • Yield (revenue per parcel) vs competitors
  • Sortation utilization rate

Counterarguments

  • Franchise-heavy peers can run lower-cost models in economy segment
  • Platforms can shift volume to the cheapest carrier

Operational Excellence

Supply

Strength: 3/5 · Durability: medium · Confidence: 3/5 · 1 evidence

Network optimization and asset utilization improvements can create a sustained cost gap versus less sophisticated operators.

Erosion risks

  • Competitors copy process improvements
  • Labor and fuel cost inflation

Leading indicators

  • Cost per parcel
  • Network utilization
  • Labor productivity

Counterarguments

  • Operational advantages can be competed away as best practices diffuse
  • Automation capex is increasingly accessible to large peers

LTL Freight

Less-than-truckload (LTL) freight services

Competitive

Physical Network Density

Supply

Strength: 3/5 · Durability: medium · Confidence: 3/5 · 1 evidence

Dense trucking and transfer network improves delivery times and load factors; advantaged lanes can compound with scale.

Erosion risks

  • Freight market fragmentation limits pricing
  • Fuel cost volatility

Leading indicators

  • Load factor / utilization
  • Cost per ton-km
  • On-time performance

Counterarguments

  • Many regional carriers compete aggressively on price
  • Digital freight platforms can reduce routing inefficiencies for smaller players

Cold Chain & Pharmaceutical

Temperature-controlled and pharmaceutical logistics

Competitive

Service Field Network

Supply

Strength: 3/5 · Durability: medium · Confidence: 3/5 · 1 evidence

Specialized cold-chain network and operational capabilities (handling, monitoring, and distribution) create credibility and qualification barriers for regulated shippers.

Erosion risks

  • Specialist cold-chain providers scale up
  • Regulatory standards tighten, raising compliance costs

Leading indicators

  • Cold-chain market share (revenue)
  • Temperature excursion rate
  • Customer retention in pharma

Counterarguments

  • Market remains fragmented; share is small vs total market
  • Specialists may outperform on niche temperature-controlled categories

Intra-city On-demand

Third-party intra-city on-demand (instant) delivery services

Oligopoly

Two Sided Network

Network

Strength: 3/5 · Durability: medium · Confidence: 3/5 · 1 evidence

Density of merchants and couriers improves matching efficiency and service levels; share supports a baseline network effect within targeted cities/verticals.

Erosion risks

  • Dominant platforms subsidize pricing to gain share
  • Regulation on gig workers changes cost structure

Leading indicators

  • Order density per active courier
  • Average delivery time and cancellation rate
  • City coverage expansion

Counterarguments

  • Meituan/Alibaba ecosystem traffic can overwhelm third-party networks
  • Network effects are local; share can be fragile outside core cities

Brand Trust

Demand

Strength: 3/5 · Durability: medium · Confidence: 3/5 · 1 evidence

SF brand can help win service-sensitive merchants (quality, reliability) in instant delivery categories.

Erosion risks

  • Brand dilution from service issues
  • Category commoditization

Leading indicators

  • Merchant retention
  • Service quality metrics vs peers

Counterarguments

  • Brand matters less than price and platform demand
  • Delivery speed and density can trump brand perception

Supply Chain & International

End-to-end supply chain solutions and international logistics (express, freight forwarding, cross-border e-commerce logistics)

Competitive

Scope Economies

Supply

Strength: 4/5 · Durability: durable · Confidence: 4/5 · 1 evidence

Integrated portfolio (express, freight, cold chain, intra-city, supply chain) enables cross-selling and one-stop logistics solutions for enterprise customers.

Erosion risks

  • Customers unbundle to best-of-breed providers
  • Integration complexity reduces service quality

Leading indicators

  • Share of wallet per enterprise customer
  • Cross-sell attachment rate across product lines
  • Customer churn in supply chain solutions

Counterarguments

  • Some customers prefer specialist 3PLs for specific lanes/industries
  • Bundling does not guarantee best economics vs focused competitors

Switching Costs General

Demand

Strength: 3/5 · Durability: medium · Confidence: 3/5 · 1 evidence

Deep operational integration (processes, SLAs, warehousing/transport workflows) increases switching friction for enterprise supply chain customers.

Erosion risks

  • Standardized APIs/3PL marketplaces reduce lock-in
  • Rebidding cycles reset contracts

Leading indicators

  • Contract renewal rates
  • Duration of key accounts
  • NRR for integrated solutions

Counterarguments

  • Many supply chain contracts are rebid on price and performance
  • Global forwarders can match service with asset-light models

Other (Non-logistics & Undistributed Units)

Non-logistics ancillary services and undistributed corporate units

Competitive

Non-core ancillary activities

Demand

Strength: 1/5 · Durability: fragile · Confidence: 3/5 · 1 evidence

This bucket is small and heterogeneous; it typically does not exhibit a stable, durable moat versus focused specialists.

Treated as a residual segment; moat intentionally scored low.

Erosion risks

  • Low scale and competition
  • Strategic deprioritization

Leading indicators

  • Revenue contribution stability
  • Management disclosures about non-core disposals

Counterarguments

  • Non-core activities may not be defensible and can be commoditized

Evidence

investor_day
SF Holding Corporate Overview (1H2025, dated 2025-09-17)

Asia's only dedicated air cargo hub - Ezhou Cargo Hub

Supports the claim that SF has unique air-network infrastructure underpinning time-definite service levels.

investor_day
SF Holding Corporate Overview (1H2025, dated 2025-09-17)

All processes directly operated... First-mile pickup... Last-mile delivery.

Integrated, directly-operated network improves control over service quality and reliability.

investor_day
SF Holding Corporate Overview (1H2025, dated 2025-09-17)

c.95% of China's Top 500 Enterprises are our customers.

Large-enterprise penetration indicates trust and willingness to standardize on SF for critical shipments.

investor_day
SF Holding Corporate Overview (1H2025, dated 2025-09-17)

Market share... 64.1%

Market-share table lists 64.1% for time-definite express (China, revenue, 2024); slide cites Frost & Sullivan.

investor_day
SF Holding Corporate Overview (1H2025, dated 2025-09-17)

Economies of scale and network synergies

IR materials explicitly highlight scale and network synergies supporting cost competitiveness.

Showing 5 of 18 sources.

Risks & Indicators

Erosion risks

  • Competitors expand air capacity and hubs
  • Regulatory constraints on aviation operations
  • Premium-to-economy mix-down in weak demand
  • Price competition compresses premium spreads
  • Service incidents damage reputation
  • Corporate procurement shifts to multi-sourcing

Leading indicators

  • Time-definite express market share (revenue)
  • On-time delivery rate
  • Air network utilization
  • Unit cost per parcel (premium products)
  • Net promoter score / complaint rate
  • Enterprise customer count and retention
Created 2025-12-28
Updated 2025-12-28

Curation & Accuracy

This directory blends AI‑assisted discovery with human curation. Entries are reviewed, edited, and organized with the goal of expanding coverage and sharpening quality over time. Your feedback helps steer improvements (because no single human can capture everything all at once).

Details change. Pricing, features, and availability may be incomplete or out of date. Treat listings as a starting point and verify on the provider’s site before making decisions. If you spot an error or a gap, send a quick note and I’ll adjust.