VOL. XCIV, NO. 247

★ FINANCIAL TOOLS & SERVICES DIRECTORY ★

PRICE: 5 CENTS

Sunday, October 5, 2025

View CME FedWatch Tool View Dune Back to Home

Head-to-head

CME FedWatch Tool vs Dune comparison

Compare pricing, supported platforms, categories, and standout capabilities to decide which tool fits your workflow.

Quick takeaways

CME FedWatch Tool adds Central Bank Watcher, Interest Rates, APIs & SDKs, and Calendar coverage that Dune skips.

Dune includes On-chain Analytics, DEX / DeFi, and Crypto Derivatives categories that CME FedWatch Tool omits.

CME FedWatch Tool highlights: Meeting‑by‑meeting probabilities of FOMC target‑rate outcomes implied by Fed Funds futures., Compare view (current vs 1‑day/1‑week/1‑month ago) and Historical panel., and Fed ‘Dot Plot’ chart plus table view..

Dune is known for: Interactive dashboards and charts built with DuneSQL over raw, decoded, and curated ‘Spellbook’ datasets., Cross-chain catalog for EVM and non-EVM chains (e.g., Ethereum, Solana, Bitcoin, NEAR), including curated token price tables., and Dune API with SQL endpoints, preset endpoints (DEX, EVM contracts, markets, Farcaster, projects), and executions/results retrieval..

CME FedWatch Tool

cmegroup.com

Official CME probabilities for upcoming FOMC decisions, derived from 30‑Day Fed Funds (ZQ) futures. Web tool provides meeting‑by‑meeting probability matrices, comparisons over time, a historical download, and a Dot Plot view. A paid REST API is available for programmatic access. CME documents the probability‑tree methodology clearly; API snapshots update on business days at ~01:45 UTC. Media usage asks attribution to “CME FedWatch.”

Platforms

Web

API

Pricing

Free

Subscription

Quick highlights

Meeting‑by‑meeting probabilities of FOMC target‑rate outcomes implied by Fed Funds futures.
Compare view (current vs 1‑day/1‑week/1‑month ago) and Historical panel.
Fed ‘Dot Plot’ chart plus table view.
One‑click PDF generation of the current page and Excel downloads for historical probabilities.
Transparent methodology: unconditional probabilities via a binary probability tree built from implied EFFR, assuming 25 bp step sizes.

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Dune

dune.com

Community-powered, cross-chain analytics platform with SQL-based dashboards and a production API. Supports 100+ blockchains (raw, decoded, and curated ‘Spellbook’ tables). API returns JSON/CSV from saved queries and preset endpoints (DEX, markets, Farcaster, contracts, etc.).

Platforms

Web

API

Pricing

Free

Subscription

Quick highlights

Interactive dashboards and charts built with DuneSQL over raw, decoded, and curated ‘Spellbook’ datasets.
Cross-chain catalog for EVM and non-EVM chains (e.g., Ethereum, Solana, Bitcoin, NEAR), including curated token price tables.
Dune API with SQL endpoints, preset endpoints (DEX, EVM contracts, markets, Farcaster, projects), and executions/results retrieval.
Programmatic exports (JSON/CSV) for embedding and downstream analytics; plan-based rate limits.
“Sim by Dune” developer offering with self-serve (Builder) tier for realtime multi-chain API access and separate enterprise IDX.

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Overlap

Shared focus areas

2 overlaps

Mutual strengths include Data APIs, and Data Visualizations.

Where they differ

CME FedWatch Tool

Distinct strengths include:

Meeting‑by‑meeting probabilities of FOMC target‑rate outcomes implied by Fed Funds futures.
Compare view (current vs 1‑day/1‑week/1‑month ago) and Historical panel.
Fed ‘Dot Plot’ chart plus table view.
One‑click PDF generation of the current page and Excel downloads for historical probabilities.

Dune

Distinct strengths include:

On-chain Analytics

DEX / DeFi

Crypto Derivatives

Interactive dashboards and charts built with DuneSQL over raw, decoded, and curated ‘Spellbook’ datasets.
Cross-chain catalog for EVM and non-EVM chains (e.g., Ethereum, Solana, Bitcoin, NEAR), including curated token price tables.
Dune API with SQL endpoints, preset endpoints (DEX, EVM contracts, markets, Farcaster, projects), and executions/results retrieval.
Programmatic exports (JSON/CSV) for embedding and downstream analytics; plan-based rate limits.

Feature-by-feature breakdown

Attribute	CME FedWatch Tool	Dune
Categories Which research workflows each platform targets	Shared: Data APIs, Data Visualizations Unique: Central Bank Watcher, Interest Rates, APIs & SDKs, Calendar	Shared: Data APIs, Data Visualizations Unique: On-chain Analytics, DEX / DeFi, Crypto Derivatives
Asset types Supported asset classes and universes	Futures	Cryptos
Experience levels Who each product is built for	Beginner, Intermediate, Advanced	Beginner, Intermediate, Advanced
Platforms Where you can access the product	Web, API	Web, API
Pricing High-level pricing models	Free, Subscription	Free, Subscription
Key features Core capabilities called out by each vendor	Unique Meeting‑by‑meeting probabilities of FOMC target‑rate outcomes implied by Fed Funds futures. Compare view (current vs 1‑day/1‑week/1‑month ago) and Historical panel. Fed ‘Dot Plot’ chart plus table view. One‑click PDF generation of the current page and Excel downloads for historical probabilities. Transparent methodology: unconditional probabilities via a binary probability tree built from implied EFFR, assuming 25 bp step sizes. FedWatch REST API (OAuth2) with endpoints for /forecasts and /meetings (future/history); extended history available.	Unique Interactive dashboards and charts built with DuneSQL over raw, decoded, and curated ‘Spellbook’ datasets. Cross-chain catalog for EVM and non-EVM chains (e.g., Ethereum, Solana, Bitcoin, NEAR), including curated token price tables. Dune API with SQL endpoints, preset endpoints (DEX, EVM contracts, markets, Farcaster, projects), and executions/results retrieval. Programmatic exports (JSON/CSV) for embedding and downstream analytics; plan-based rate limits. “Sim by Dune” developer offering with self-serve (Builder) tier for realtime multi-chain API access and separate enterprise IDX.
Tested Verified by hands-on testing inside Find My Moat	Not yet	Not yet
Editor pick Featured inside curated shortlists	Standard listing	Standard listing

Frequently Asked Questions

Which workflows do CME FedWatch Tool and Dune both support?

Both platforms cover Data APIs, and Data Visualizations workflows, so you can research those use cases in either tool before digging into the feature differences below.

Do CME FedWatch Tool and Dune require subscriptions?

Both CME FedWatch Tool and Dune keep freemium access with optional paid upgrades, so you can trial each platform before committing.

How can you access CME FedWatch Tool and Dune?

Both CME FedWatch Tool and Dune prioritize web or desktop access. Investors wanting a mobile-first workflow may need to rely on responsive web views.

What unique strengths set the two platforms apart?

CME FedWatch Tool differentiates itself with Meeting‑by‑meeting probabilities of FOMC target‑rate outcomes implied by Fed Funds futures., Compare view (current vs 1‑day/1‑week/1‑month ago) and Historical panel., and Fed ‘Dot Plot’ chart plus table view., whereas Dune stands out for Interactive dashboards and charts built with DuneSQL over raw, decoded, and curated ‘Spellbook’ datasets., Cross-chain catalog for EVM and non-EVM chains (e.g., Ethereum, Solana, Bitcoin, NEAR), including curated token price tables., and Dune API with SQL endpoints, preset endpoints (DEX, EVM contracts, markets, Farcaster, projects), and executions/results retrieval..

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