VOL. XCIV, NO. 247

★ WIDE MOAT STOCKS & COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGES ★

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Wednesday, December 31, 2025

AutoZone, Inc.

AZO · New York Stock Exchange

Market cap (USD)$56.3B
SectorConsumer
CountryUS
Data as of
Moat score
59/ 100

Weighted average of segment moat scores, combining moat strength, durability, confidence, market structure, pricing power, and market share.

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Overview

AutoZone, Inc. is a leading retailer and distributor of automotive replacement parts and accessories across the Americas. The core advantage is a dense store footprint paired with a hub/mega-hub and distribution-center network that improves local parts availability and speed for both DIY customers and professional repair shops. Private-label brands and proprietary in-store systems support differentiation, while favorable supplier terms can reduce working-capital needs. Key risks include intense price competition (including e-commerce), peers upgrading supply chains, and longer-term shifts in vehicle mix that change parts demand.

Primary segment

U.S. Auto Parts Retail & Commercial Distribution

Market structure

Competitive

Market share

HHI:

Coverage

2 segments · 6 tags

Updated 2025-12-31

Segments

U.S. Auto Parts Retail & Commercial Distribution

U.S. automotive aftermarket replacement parts & accessories retail and commercial distribution

Revenue

88%

Structure

Competitive

Pricing

moderate

Share

Peers

ORLYAAPGPCLKQ+1

International Auto Parts Retail & Commercial Distribution (Mexico & Brazil)

Automotive aftermarket replacement parts & accessories retail and commercial distribution

Revenue

12%

Structure

Competitive

Pricing

weak

Share

Peers

MELIAMZNORLYAAP+1

Moat Claims

U.S. Auto Parts Retail & Commercial Distribution

U.S. automotive aftermarket replacement parts & accessories retail and commercial distribution

Revenue_share computed from FY2025 net sales by geography (U.S. vs outside U.S.) disclosed in the Form 10-K.

Competitive

Distribution Control

Supply

Strength: 4/5 · Durability: durable · Confidence: 4/5 · 1 evidence

Hub/mega-hub and distribution-center network supports fast local parts availability.

Erosion risks

  • Competitors replicate hub-and-spoke inventory models
  • Last-mile delivery improvements by e-commerce

Leading indicators

  • Hub and mega hub count
  • Distribution center openings/closures
  • In-stock and fill-rate metrics (if disclosed)

Counterarguments

  • Peers are investing heavily in similar availability-focused logistics networks

Physical Network Density

Supply

Strength: 4/5 · Durability: durable · Confidence: 4/5 · 1 evidence

Large U.S. store footprint enables convenience and rapid pickup for urgent repairs.

Erosion risks

  • Store traffic shift to online channels
  • Rising rents/labor costs reduce store economics

Leading indicators

  • Domestic store count (net adds)
  • Domestic same-store sales
  • Lease renewals and occupancy cost trends

Counterarguments

  • Convenience advantage narrows as same-day delivery becomes standard

Service Field Network

Supply

Strength: 3/5 · Durability: medium · Confidence: 4/5 · 1 evidence

Commercial program (delivery + credit) deepens relationships with repair shops and fleets.

Erosion risks

  • Repair-shop consolidation shifts bargaining power
  • Wholesale distributors or OEM channels bypass retail chains

Leading indicators

  • Commercial sales mix (Domestic %)
  • Delivery speed/coverage expansion
  • Customer retention in commercial accounts (if disclosed)

Counterarguments

  • Commercial customers can multi-source; switching costs are moderate

Operational Excellence

Supply

Strength: 3/5 · Durability: medium · Confidence: 3/5 · 1 evidence

Proprietary systems improve parts lookup and inventory visibility across nearby stores.

Erosion risks

  • Software advantage erodes as vendors offer similar tools
  • System outages/cyber incidents disrupt operations

Leading indicators

  • Digital conversion and omnichannel adoption
  • IT uptime/cyber incidents
  • Employee productivity metrics (sales per labor hour)

Counterarguments

  • Retail tech is widely available; competitors can match over time

Brand Trust

Demand

Strength: 3/5 · Durability: medium · Confidence: 3/5 · 1 evidence

Brand and private labels (e.g., Duralast family) support perceived value and warranty trust.

Erosion risks

  • Price transparency weakens brand premium
  • Quality issues in private-label products damage trust

Leading indicators

  • Private-label penetration (if disclosed)
  • Warranty claims/returns trend (if disclosed)
  • Brand sentiment/foot traffic trends

Counterarguments

  • Price-driven shoppers may view parts as interchangeable across retailers

Negative Working Capital

Financial

Strength: 3/5 · Durability: medium · Confidence: 4/5 · 1 evidence

Supplier terms create a cash conversion benefit (payables-to-inventory ratio > 100%).

Erosion risks

  • Supplier financing terms tighten in stressed credit markets
  • Regulatory/contract changes reduce payable days

Leading indicators

  • Accounts payable to inventory ratio
  • Days payable outstanding trend
  • Credit rating changes

Counterarguments

  • Large peers can negotiate similar vendor terms; advantage may be shared

International Auto Parts Retail & Commercial Distribution (Mexico & Brazil)

Automotive aftermarket replacement parts & accessories retail and commercial distribution

Revenue_share computed from FY2025 net sales outside the United States disclosed in the Form 10-K (Mexico + Brazil combined).

Competitive

Distribution Control

Supply

Strength: 3/5 · Durability: medium · Confidence: 4/5 · 1 evidence

International hub stores and local DCs support speed/assortment in Mexico and Brazil.

Erosion risks

  • Local competitors expand store coverage
  • FX volatility raises imported-part costs

Leading indicators

  • International hub/mega hub count
  • International same-store sales (reported)
  • FX impact on sales/profit

Counterarguments

  • Scale benefits can be smaller in earlier-stage markets with lower density

Physical Network Density

Supply

Strength: 3/5 · Durability: medium · Confidence: 4/5 · 1 evidence

Growing store base (Mexico and Brazil) improves proximity and supports local scale.

Erosion risks

  • Execution risk in new markets
  • Real estate and security challenges in certain regions

Leading indicators

  • International store count (net adds)
  • New store productivity
  • Shrink and loss rates (if disclosed)

Counterarguments

  • International markets can remain fragmented and price-competitive despite scale

Service Field Network

Supply

Strength: 2/5 · Durability: medium · Confidence: 3/5 · 1 evidence

Commercial program exists in most international stores, supporting DIFM growth.

Erosion risks

  • Credit losses in weaker macro environments
  • Repair shops switch to wholesalers/OEM

Leading indicators

  • International commercial penetration (store coverage)
  • Bad debt expense trend (if disclosed)
  • Delivery coverage expansion

Counterarguments

  • Commercial relationships can be contested; switching costs are not prohibitive

Brand Trust

Demand

Strength: 2/5 · Durability: medium · Confidence: 3/5 · 1 evidence

Brand and private-label strategy can translate, but trust is more market-specific.

Erosion risks

  • Brand awareness lags local incumbents
  • Quality perception varies by country

Leading indicators

  • International same-store sales vs peers
  • Customer satisfaction/NPS (if disclosed)
  • Private-label adoption in international markets

Counterarguments

  • Local competitors may have stronger cultural and sourcing advantages

Evidence

sec_filing
AutoZone Form 10-K (FY ended Aug 30, 2025)

Describes hub/mega hub SKU depth, same-day access to hub inventory, and DC footprint (U.S. + international).

Risks & Indicators

Erosion risks

  • Competitors replicate hub-and-spoke inventory models
  • Last-mile delivery improvements by e-commerce
  • Store traffic shift to online channels
  • Rising rents/labor costs reduce store economics
  • Repair-shop consolidation shifts bargaining power
  • Wholesale distributors or OEM channels bypass retail chains

Leading indicators

  • Hub and mega hub count
  • Distribution center openings/closures
  • In-stock and fill-rate metrics (if disclosed)
  • Domestic store count (net adds)
  • Domestic same-store sales
  • Lease renewals and occupancy cost trends
Created 2025-12-31
Updated 2025-12-31

Curation & Accuracy

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