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The Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD) Moat Analysis

The Toronto-Dominion Bank

TD · Toronto Stock Exchange

Market cap (USD)$200.6B
SectorFinancials
IndustryBanks - Diversified
CountryCA
Data as of
Moat score
18/ 100

Weighted average of segment moat scores, combining moat strength, durability, confidence, market structure, pricing power, and market share.

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Overview

The Toronto-Dominion Bank is a Canadian universal bank whose H1 FY2026 operating-segment revenue mix was 34.3% Canadian Personal and Commercial Banking, 25.3% U.S. Banking, 24.7% Wealth Management and Insurance, and 15.6% Wholesale Banking, excluding Corporate. Its one verified moat is the Canadian primary-banking deposit franchise: TD ranked first in personal core deposits and in surveyed primary-bank relationships, supporting a funding advantage that is meaningful but shared with other large Canadian banks. Brand is not separately scored because it feeds the same deposit mechanism. U.S. branch count alone does not prove density economics; stores fell to 1,048 from 1,137, the asset limitation remains in force, and substantial AML work and approvals extend through at least 2027. Wealth/insurance scale and wholesale breadth likewise do not establish switching costs or proprietary scope economies. H1 reported net income was C$8,294m and CET1 was 14.3%. At April 30, 1,652,420,000 common shares were issued and 1,652,051,000 were outstanding after treasury shares. The same ordinary shares trade primarily on the TSX and secondarily on the NYSE; this is not an ADR structure. ISIN CA8911605092 and CUSIP 891160509 pass their check digits; CIK 0000947263 is current. LEI PT3QB789TSUIDF371261 is issued and entity-active, with renewal due January 24, 2027. The retained FMP-style bank margins use the provider's gross-income taxonomy rather than TD's net-interest-income revenue presentation. Q3 results are scheduled for August 27, 2026.

Primary segment

Canadian Personal and Commercial Banking

Market structure

Oligopoly

Market share

HHI:

Coverage

4 segments · 8 tags

Updated 2026-08-09

Segments

Canadian Personal and Commercial Banking

Canadian retail, small business, commercial banking, cards, mortgages, deposits, auto finance, and payments

Revenue

34.3%

Structure

Oligopoly

Pricing

moderate

Share

Peers

RYBMOBNSCM+1

U.S. Banking

U.S. East Coast retail, small business, commercial banking, auto finance, cards, and wealth banking

Revenue

25.3%

Structure

Competitive

Pricing

weak

Share

Peers

JPMBACWFCPNC+2

Wealth Management and Insurance

Canadian wealth management, direct investing, asset management, private wealth, property and casualty insurance, and life/health insurance

Revenue

24.7%

Structure

Competitive

Pricing

weak

Share

Peers

RYBMOBNSCM+2

Wholesale Banking

Corporate and investment banking, capital markets, global markets, research, lending, and transaction services

Revenue

15.6%

Structure

Competitive

Pricing

weak

Share

Peers

RYBMOBNSJPM+2

Moat Claims

Canadian Personal and Commercial Banking

Canadian retail, small business, commercial banking, cards, mortgages, deposits, auto finance, and payments

Revenue_share is H1 FY2026 segment revenue of C$10,677m divided by C$31,093m across the four operating segments. Operating_profit_share is H1 segment pre-tax income of C$5,508m divided by C$11,494m across those segments. Corporate revenue of C$1,289m and its C$1,297m pre-tax loss are excluded from both normalized denominators. Source: https://www.td.com/content/dam/tdcom/canada/about-td/pdf/quarterly-results/2026/q2/2026-q2-report-shareholders-en.pdf.

Oligopoly

Cost Of Capital Advantage

Financial

Strength

Strength 3 of 5

Durability

Durability 2 of 3

Confidence

Confidence 4 of 5

Evidence

Evidence 2 of 5

TD ranked first in Canadian personal core deposits and in the share of surveyed Canadians naming it their primary bank. That relationship base supports stable funding and cross-sell, but the advantage is shared with other large Canadian banks and deposit costs remain rate-sensitive.

Cost Of Capital Advantage moat: definition, examples, and stocks

Erosion risks

  • Deposit betas rise as customers chase yield
  • Mortgage and commercial-loan competition compress spreads
  • Canadian housing stress raises credit losses

Leading indicators

  • Canadian Banking net interest margin
  • Deposit growth and deposit cost
  • Canadian retail branch count and productivity

Counterarguments

  • Royal Bank, BMO, Scotiabank, CIBC, and National Bank have similar deposit scale
  • Rate comparison tools make deposits and mortgages easier to reprice or move

U.S. Banking

U.S. East Coast retail, small business, commercial banking, auto finance, cards, and wealth banking

Revenue_share is H1 FY2026 reported revenue of C$7,869m divided by C$31,093m across the four operating segments. Operating_profit_share is H1 reported pre-tax income of C$2,288m divided by C$11,494m across those segments. Schwab no longer contributes, and 1,048 U.S. stores at April 30 were down from 1,137 a year earlier. Significant AML remediation milestones remain through 2027, subject to monitor and regulatory approval. Source: https://www.td.com/content/dam/tdcom/canada/about-td/pdf/quarterly-results/2026/q2/2026-q2-report-shareholders-en.pdf.

Competitive

Wealth Management and Insurance

Canadian wealth management, direct investing, asset management, private wealth, property and casualty insurance, and life/health insurance

Revenue_share is H1 FY2026 revenue of C$7,684m divided by C$31,093m across the four operating segments. Operating_profit_share is H1 pre-tax income of C$2,157m divided by C$11,494m across those segments. AUA of C$797bn and AUM of C$643bn show scale, but the filing does not establish client switching costs or a proprietary distribution choke point. Source: https://www.td.com/content/dam/tdcom/canada/about-td/pdf/quarterly-results/2026/q2/2026-q2-report-shareholders-en.pdf.

Competitive

Wholesale Banking

Corporate and investment banking, capital markets, global markets, research, lending, and transaction services

Revenue_share is H1 FY2026 revenue of C$4,863m divided by C$31,093m across the four operating segments. Operating_profit_share is H1 pre-tax income of C$1,541m divided by C$11,494m across those segments. Revenue growth and TD Cowen breadth do not establish switching costs in competitive, capital-intensive wholesale markets. Source: https://www.td.com/content/dam/tdcom/canada/about-td/pdf/quarterly-results/2026/q2/2026-q2-report-shareholders-en.pdf.

Competitive

Evidence

other

Ranked #1 position in personal core deposits

The filing attributes the ranking to OSFI personal non-term deposit data as of September 2025.

other

TD ranked #1 in percentage of total Canadians who named TD as their primary bank

The filing attributes the result to the June 2025 Ipsos Canadian Financial Monitor.

Risks & Indicators

Erosion risks

  • Deposit betas rise as customers chase yield
  • Mortgage and commercial-loan competition compress spreads
  • Canadian housing stress raises credit losses
  • Open banking and fintech accounts reduce primary-bank stickiness

Leading indicators

  • Canadian Banking net interest margin
  • Deposit growth and deposit cost
  • Canadian retail branch count and productivity
  • Canadian PCL ratio and mortgage delinquencies

Keep the research going

Created 2026-07-01
Updated 2026-08-09

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