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The Campbell's Company

CPB · The Nasdaq Stock Market LLC

Market cap (USD)$6.9B
SectorConsumer
IndustryPackaged Foods
CountryUS
Data as of
Moat score
61/ 100

Weighted average of segment moat scores, combining moat strength, durability, confidence, market structure, pricing power, and market share.

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Overview

The Campbell's Company is a North America-focused branded food company with two reportable segments: Meals & Beverages (about 62% of first-nine-month FY2026 segment sales) and Snacks (about 38%). Its strongest moat remains brand-driven, supported by protected pantry and snacking trademarks such as Campbell's, Rao's, Swanson, V8, Goldfish and Pepperidge Farm. Distribution execution matters because sales run through large retailers, including Walmart, and Snacks uses a direct-store-delivery model. Current operating evidence is mixed: Q3 FY2026 net sales declined 4% and both segments had lower operating earnings, while supply-chain productivity and cost-savings programs partly offset tariffs, inflation and volume/mix weakness.

Primary segment

Meals & Beverages

Market structure

Competitive

Market share

HHI:

Coverage

2 segments · 8 tags

Updated 2026-07-01

Segments

Meals & Beverages

Branded shelf-stable meals, soup/broth, sauces and beverages (retail + foodservice)

Revenue

62.3%

Structure

Competitive

Pricing

moderate

Share

Peers

KHCGISCAGSJM

Snacks

Branded snacks (cookies, crackers, pretzels, chips and related snacking products)

Revenue

37.7%

Structure

Competitive

Pricing

weak

Share

Peers

PEPMDLZKGIS

Moat Claims

Meals & Beverages

Branded shelf-stable meals, soup/broth, sauces and beverages (retail + foodservice)

Revenue share (net sales $4,741M of $7,607M) and operating profit share (segment operating earnings $762M of $1,047M) computed from Q3 FY2026 Form 10-Q for the nine months ended 2026-05-03.

Competitive

Brand Trust

Demand

Strength

Strength 4 of 5

Durability

Durability 3 of 3

Confidence

Confidence 4 of 5

Evidence

Evidence 2 of 5

Iconic pantry brands (e.g., Campbell's, Swanson, Prego, Pace, V8, Rao's) support consumer preference and retailer shelf allocation.

Brand Trust moat: definition, examples, and stocks

Erosion risks

  • Trade-down to private label in inflationary periods
  • Brand damage from quality/safety incidents
  • Shifts toward fresh/perimeter-store eating

Leading indicators

  • Net price realization vs inflation
  • Volume/mix in soup, broth and sauces
  • Household penetration and repeat rates

Counterarguments

  • Many meal categories are price/promotion driven and consumers can switch brands quickly
  • Private label can narrow the perceived quality gap at a lower price

Distribution Control

Supply

Strength

Strength 3 of 5

Durability

Durability 2 of 3

Confidence

Confidence 4 of 5

Evidence

Evidence 2 of 5

Broad multi-channel distribution (grocery, mass, club, dollar, e-commerce, foodservice) supports reach; large retail relationships matter but are not exclusive.

Distribution Control moat: definition, examples, and stocks

Erosion risks

  • Retailer consolidation increases negotiating leverage
  • Shelf-space reallocation toward private label
  • Channel shift to value/dollar and e-commerce compresses pricing

Leading indicators

  • ACV distribution and shelf-space trends
  • Trade spend as % of sales
  • Top-customer concentration

Counterarguments

  • Retailers can delist branded products and expand private label, limiting any 'control'
  • Category growth is mature; incremental distribution may be costly

Operational Excellence

Supply

Strength

Strength 3 of 5

Durability

Durability 2 of 3

Confidence

Confidence 4 of 5

Evidence

Evidence 3 of 5

Multi-year cost-savings and network optimization programs help offset tariff, commodity and supply-chain pressure, though FY2026 margins remain under pressure.

Operational Excellence moat: definition, examples, and stocks

Erosion risks

  • Input inflation/tariffs outpace productivity gains
  • Execution risk in network optimization and IT changes
  • Labor disruptions or plant downtime

Leading indicators

  • Gross margin trend
  • Cost savings realized vs plan
  • Service levels (OTIF) and fill rates

Counterarguments

  • Larger CPG peers can match or exceed procurement and manufacturing scale
  • Cost savings can be competed away via higher trade/promo spending

Snacks

Branded snacks (cookies, crackers, pretzels, chips and related snacking products)

Revenue share (net sales $2,866M of $7,607M) and operating profit share (segment operating earnings $285M of $1,047M) computed from Q3 FY2026 Form 10-Q for the nine months ended 2026-05-03.

Competitive

Brand Trust

Demand

Strength

Strength 4 of 5

Durability

Durability 3 of 3

Confidence

Confidence 4 of 5

Evidence

Evidence 2 of 5

Leadership snack brands (e.g., Goldfish, Pepperidge Farm, Snyder's of Hanover, Cape Cod, Kettle Brand) support repeat purchase and shelf presence.

Brand Trust moat: definition, examples, and stocks

Erosion risks

  • Private label share gains in value channels
  • Health/wellness shifts reduce demand for traditional salty snacks
  • Brand impairments and SKU rationalization signal weakening franchises

Leading indicators

  • Volume growth for leadership brands
  • Promotional intensity and feature/display rates
  • Brand impairment charges

Counterarguments

  • Snacks are highly substitutable and promotions can dominate brand preference
  • Mega-competitors with larger ad budgets can outspend and out-innovate

Distribution Control

Supply

Strength

Strength 4 of 5

Durability

Durability 2 of 3

Confidence

Confidence 3 of 5

Evidence

Evidence 2 of 5

Direct-store-delivery (DSD) in Snacks can improve in-store execution and shelf management versus warehouse delivery.

Distribution Control moat: definition, examples, and stocks

Erosion risks

  • High distribution/route costs pressure profitability
  • Retailers push more categories to warehouse delivery
  • E-commerce growth reduces the advantage of in-store execution

Leading indicators

  • DSD route cost per unit
  • On-shelf availability and service levels
  • Retailer authorization for DSD programs

Counterarguments

  • DSD is not exclusive and can be replicated by other snack incumbents
  • If retailers prioritize lowest net price, execution advantages may not translate into share

Operational Excellence

Supply

Strength

Strength 3 of 5

Durability

Durability 2 of 3

Confidence

Confidence 3 of 5

Evidence

Evidence 2 of 5

Supply chain productivity and company-wide cost savings initiatives partially offset inflation and fund marketing, but Snacks profit is currently more pressured than Meals & Beverages.

Operational Excellence moat: definition, examples, and stocks

Erosion risks

  • Commodity and labor inflation
  • Underutilized plant capacity if volumes decline
  • Complexity from portfolio changes and integration work

Leading indicators

  • Snacks segment margin trend
  • Manufacturing utilization and scrap rates
  • Cost savings realized vs targets

Counterarguments

  • Frito-Lay/other large peers have superior scale and route density in many snack subcategories
  • Productivity gains may be offset by higher trade spend to defend share

Evidence

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We believe our trademarks are of material importance to our business.

Management frames brand/IP as materially important, consistent with a demand-side brand moat.

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are protected by trademark law in the major markets where they are used.

Shows long-lived brand assets are legally protected in major markets (supports sustained brand differentiation).

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through retail food chains, mass discounters, mass merchandisers, club stores, convenience stores, dollar stores, e-commerce and other retail

Documents breadth of distribution channels that underpin shelf presence and availability.

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accounted for approximately 21% of consolidated net sales

Supports Walmart as a key customer and highlights retailer concentration in go-to-market.

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Operating earnings from Meals & Beverages decreased 15%.

Shows the current segment profit pressure even with productivity and cost savings offsets.

Showing 5 of 13 sources.

Risks & Indicators

Erosion risks

  • Trade-down to private label in inflationary periods
  • Brand damage from quality/safety incidents
  • Shifts toward fresh/perimeter-store eating
  • Retailer consolidation increases negotiating leverage
  • Shelf-space reallocation toward private label
  • Channel shift to value/dollar and e-commerce compresses pricing

Leading indicators

  • Net price realization vs inflation
  • Volume/mix in soup, broth and sauces
  • Household penetration and repeat rates
  • ACV distribution and shelf-space trends
  • Trade spend as % of sales
  • Top-customer concentration

Keep the research going

Created 2025-12-30
Updated 2026-07-01

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